Sport Picks
Baia de Pemba vs Ferroviario Nampula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
The Mocambola game between Baia de Pemba and Ferroviario Nampula finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baia de Pemba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Baia de Pemba haven't matched Ferroviario Nampula's recent run of results.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Baia de Pemba taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Baia de Pemba Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baia de Pemba | Ferroviario Nampula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.65 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Ferroviario Nampula
0:0
May 10, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Baia de Pemba
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Baia de Pemba
0:2
Jul 13, 2025 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Ferroviario Nampula
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Baia de Pemba
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Baia de Pemba 49 / 100
Ferroviario Nampula 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Baia de Pemba Ferroviario Nampula
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Baia de Pemba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Baia de Pemba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Baia de Pemba scored in 42% of their last 26 games.
Ferroviario Nampula let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Baia de Pemba VS Ferroviario Nampula
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
13% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Baia de Pemba
(Home) 10 Oct
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 UD Songo
13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0 Baia de Pemba
02 Sept
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 UD Songo
02 Sept
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
19 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 3
Ferroviario Nampula
(Away) 10 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0 Ferroviario Beira
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 ENH Vilankulo
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
11 Aug
Costa do Sol
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
07 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 1 Ferroviario Nampula
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 28:12 | 40 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 23:15 | 34 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Nampula | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 31 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Maputo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 15:11 | 29 |
| 6 | UD Songo | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 21:16 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 28 |
| 8 | Ferroviario Nacala | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 11:14 | 23 |
| 9 | Baia de Pemba | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 10:12 | 22 |
| 10 | ENH Vilankulo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 10:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sofala | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 10:22 | 18 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 5:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
