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Baile Felix vs Peciu Nou

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 9
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baile Felix play Peciu Nou in the Liga 3 - Seria 9. It looks like a close match. Recently, Baile Felix averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Peciu Nou averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Baile Felix won 1, Peciu Nou won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 2, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Baile Felix and 0.94 for Peciu Nou. This points to a Baile Felix double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Baile Felix
33%
Draws
32%
Peciu Nou
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Baile Felix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Baile Felix picked up more points recently compared to Peciu Nou.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Baile Felix Clean Sheet 24%
Peciu Nou Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baile Felix Peciu Nou
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 9
Baile Felix vs Peciu Nou
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 9
Peciu Nou vs Baile Felix
0:0
Nov 8, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 9
Baile Felix vs Peciu Nou
0:0
Sep 6, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 9
Peciu Nou vs Baile Felix
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baile Felix 36 / 100
Peciu Nou 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baile Felix Peciu Nou

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Baile Felix or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Baile Felix attacking → ← attacking Peciu Nou

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baile Felix scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Peciu Nou let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Baile Felix went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Peciu Nou lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 44
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Politehnica Timisoara18104431:1234
2Minerul Lupeni1888227:1632
3Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii1894529:2531
4Progresul Pecica1894520:1931
5Peciu Nou1893640:2030
6Baile Felix1881916:1525
7Viitorul Arad1855814:2320
8Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei1854919:2919
9Timisul Sag18611118:2919
10Avantul Periam18241214:4010