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Bajai vs Honved - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup Baja Varosi Sporttelep, Baja
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Somogyi T.
15' Event
Pinte P.
29' Event
Somogyi T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-7. This leg finished 0-7.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bajai
15%
Draws
59%
Honved
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Honved

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Honved lately — more wins on the board than Bajai.
  • Model gives Honved a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Honved arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Honved, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bajai Clean Sheet 10%
Honved Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bajai Honved
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Hungarian Cup
Bajai vs Honved
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bajai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Honved Compare

Top Goalscorer Somogyi T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Pinte P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bajai 10 / 100
Honved 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bajai Honved

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Honved Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Honved let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bajai scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Bajai went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bajai VS Honved
1 Goals Scored 2.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bajai

(Home)
12 Sept
Bajai
0 : 7
Honved
22 Aug
Bajai
2 : 0
Csor FC
02 Aug
Bajai
0 : 5
Nagykanizsa FC
10 Feb
Mohacsi
1 : 0
Bajai
16 Sept
Bajai
0 : 7
Szeged-Csanad GA
Page 1 of 6

Honved

(Away)
31 Oct
Honved
1 : 0
Kisvarda FC
27 Oct
Gyirmot FC Gyor
3 : 1
Honved
24 Oct
Honved
0 : 2
Debrecen
17 Oct
Nyiregyhaza
0 : 1
Honved
11 Oct
Honved
1 : 1
Ujpest
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kaposvar 1
PTE-PEAC 0
Mezocsat 3
Hatvan FC 5
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Csepel UFC 0
Csepel 3
Epitok 2
Villanyi 3
Szabadkikoto 0
Godollo 2
TBD -
Debrecen -
Nagykanizsa FC -
TBD -
Monori 3
Bekescsaba 1912 1
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Emodi 2
Tarpa 1
Ibrany SE 0
Ozd-Sajovolgye 2
Majosi 7
III. Keruleti TVE 2
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Bony 0
Lebeny SE 2
Algyo SK 0
ESMTK Budapest 3
VSC Veszprem 0
Haladas VSE 1
Senyo 0
Tiszafuredi 1
Szentlorinc SE -
TBD -
Gyulai Termal 5
BKV Elore 1
TFSE-Tent Budapest 2
Siofok 0
TBD -
Vasas -
Kozarmisleny SE -
TBD -
Salgotarjani BTC 0
Mateszalkai MTK 2
Soroksar -
TBD -
Heviz 3
Balatonfuredi 1
DVTK -
TBD -
TBD -
Videoton -
Kormendi 1
Mezoors 8
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Karancslapujto 5
Edeleny 0
Nagybatony 0
Tiszaujvaros 1
Intretech Kapuvari SE 1
Tatabanya 2
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
TBD -
Erdi 0
Ivancsa 3
Mori SE 0
Dorogi FC 7
TBD -
Ujpest -
Ujdombrad SE 0
Cigand SE 3
Felsopakony 1
FC Dabas 3
Kazincbarcika -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Ikarus 2
Dunaharaszti MTK 3
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Karcagi -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Andrashida TE 2
Sopron 8
Janoshalmi 0
Szegedi 5
Sandorfalvi 1
Szolnoki MAV 3
Ugod 0
Komaromi VSE 4
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Bajai 2
Csor FC 0
TBD -
Honved -
Pecsi MFC 3
Sarbogard 0
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Balatoni Vasas 0
Nagykozar KSE 1
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Bicskei 3
Sarisapi Banyasz 1
Penzugyor SE 1
Harta SE 2
Albidok 0
Debreceni EAC 5
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
1/32-finals
Kaposvar 4
Hatvan FC 1
Ajka 3
BVSC-Zuglo 2
Csepel 3
Villanyi 1
Godollo 2
Debrecen 3
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Monori 2
Mezokovesd-Zsory 0
MTK Budapest 2
Emodi 0
Ozd-Sajovolgye 5
Majosi 1
Nyiregyhaza 8
Lebeny SE 1
ESMTK Budapest 7
Haladas VSE 4
Tiszafuredi 0
Szentlorinc SE 1
Gyulai Termal 0
TFSE-Tent Budapest 1
Vasas 3
Kozarmisleny SE 3
Mateszalkai MTK 1
Soroksar 6
Heviz 1
DVTK 4
Videoton 1
Mezoors 1
Puskas Academy 8
Karancslapujto 2
Tiszaujvaros 4
Tatabanya 4
Kecskemeti TE 5
Szeged-Csanad GA 4
Ivancsa 0
Dorogi FC 0
Ujpest 2
Cigand SE 3
FC Dabas 2
Kazincbarcika 1
Paks 2
Dunaharaszti MTK 1
Zalaegerszegi 5
Karcagi 1
Gyor 5
Sopron 6
Szegedi 3
Szolnoki MAV 3
Komaromi VSE 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
Csakvari 0
Bajai 0
Honved 7
Pecsi MFC 3
Tiszakecske 2
Nagykozar KSE 0
Kisvarda FC 9
Bicskei 1
Harta SE 0
Debreceni EAC 0
Ferencvaros 7
1/16-finals
Kaposvar 0
Ajka 2
Csepel 2
Debrecen 3
Monori 1
MTK Budapest 5
Ozd-Sajovolgye 1
Nyiregyhaza 3
ESMTK Budapest 1
Haladas VSE 0
Szentlorinc SE 3
Vasas 4
Kozarmisleny SE 3
Soroksar 2
DVTK 1
Puskas Academy 2
Tiszaujvaros 0
Kecskemeti TE 4
Szeged-Csanad GA 1
Ujpest 3
Cigand SE 1
Paks 2
Zalaegerszegi 3
Gyor 1
Sopron 3
Szolnoki MAV 0
Gyirmot FC Gyor 3
Honved 1
Pecsi MFC 4
Kisvarda FC 2
Bicskei 1
Ferencvaros 4
1/8-finals
Ajka -
Debrecen -
MTK Budapest -
Nyiregyhaza -
ESMTK Budapest -
Vasas -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Puskas Academy -
Kecskemeti TE -
Ujpest -
Paks -
Zalaegerszegi -
Sopron -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Pecsi MFC -
Ferencvaros -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -