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Bakaridjan vs Bougouba

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Bakaridjan Logo

Bakaridjan

1 - 1
FT
Bougouba Logo

Bougouba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bakaridjan
30%
Draws
41%
Bougouba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bougouba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Bougouba have won more games recently than Bakaridjan.
  • Model gives Bakaridjan a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Bakaridjan Clean Sheet 68%
Bougouba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bakaridjan Bougouba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.83 0.93
Goals Conceded 1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Bakaridjan
1:1
Jan 20, 2026 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Bougouba
1:1
Jun 13, 2025 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Bougouba
2:0
Feb 18, 2025 Premiere Division
Bougouba vs Bakaridjan
3:1
Apr 20, 2024 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Bougouba
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakaridjan 86 / 100
Bougouba 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bakaridjan Bougouba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bakaridjan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bougouba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bakaridjan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Bakaridjan scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Bakaridjan VS Bougouba
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bakaridjan

(Home)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
10 Jun
Onze Createurs
0 : 0
Bakaridjan
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
Bakaridjan
0 : 3
Djoliba
Page 1 of 6

Bougouba

(Away)
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)