Sport Picks

Mali

Premiere Division

Bakaridjan

1 - 1

Bougouba

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Bakaridjan

11%

Draws

Bougouba

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bakaridjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Bougouba have won more games recently than Bakaridjan.
Model gives Bakaridjan a 80% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%

Bakaridjan Clean Sheet 68%

Bougouba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bakaridjan	Bougouba
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	10
Draws	10	7
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	0.75	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premiere Division

Bougouba vs Bakaridjan

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

Jan 20, 2026 Premiere Division

Bakaridjan vs Bougouba

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Jun 13, 2025 Premiere Division

Bakaridjan vs Bougouba

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Feb 18, 2025 Premiere Division

Bougouba vs Bakaridjan

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Apr 20, 2024 Premiere Division

Bakaridjan vs Bougouba

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakaridjan 86 / 100

Bougouba 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bakaridjan Bougouba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bougouba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bakaridjan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Bakaridjan scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Bakaridjan VS Bougouba

0.75 Goals Scored 0.88

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Djoliba	26	18	5	3	41:12	59
2	Stade Malien	26	14	8	4	28:15	50
3	Real Bamako	26	14	7	5	32:14	49
4	Diarra	26	13	5	8	32:24	44
5	Binga	26	12	7	7	28:15	43
6	USFAS Bamako	26	12	6	8	37:27	42
7	Korofina	26	9	6	11	28:31	33
8	Bougouba	26	8	7	11	21:34	31
9	Derby Academie	26	5	14	7	19:22	29
10	Bakaridjan	26	6	9	11	20:27	27
11	Foot Elite	26	7	6	13	23:38	27
12	Onze Createurs	26	6	8	12	16:24	26
13	Mali Coura	26	4	8	14	20:31	20
14	US Bougouni	26	4	4	18	12:43	16