Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bakaridjan vs Diarra

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Bakaridjan Logo

Bakaridjan

1 - 2
FT
Diarra Logo

Diarra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Diarra in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Diarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bakaridjan
30%
Draws
41%
Diarra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Diarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Diarra have won more games recently than Bakaridjan.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Bakaridjan Clean Sheet 68%
Diarra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bakaridjan Diarra
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.12
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.07 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Diarra
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Bakaridjan
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Bakaridjan
0:1
Nov 23, 2024 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Diarra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakaridjan 42 / 100
Diarra 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bakaridjan Diarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bakaridjan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Bakaridjan scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Diarra has conceded goals in 52% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bakaridjan VS Diarra
1.14 Goals Scored 0.75
1.14 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 38%
43% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bakaridjan

(Home)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
10 Jun
Onze Createurs
0 : 0
Bakaridjan
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
Bakaridjan
0 : 3
Djoliba
Page 1 of 6

Diarra

(Away)
13 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1
Diarra
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0
Nations FC
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)