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Bakaridjan vs Djoliba Prediction & H2H Stats

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Bakaridjan and Djoliba finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Djoliba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bakaridjan
30%
Draws
41%
Djoliba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Djoliba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Djoliba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bakaridjan's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Bakaridjan Clean Sheet 68%
Djoliba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bakaridjan Djoliba
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 23
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.83 1.65
Goals Conceded 1 0.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Djoliba
0:3
Jan 17, 2026 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Bakaridjan
1:0
Mar 27, 2025 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Djoliba
0:0
Feb 5, 2025 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs Bakaridjan
0:0
May 5, 2024 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Djoliba
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakaridjan 46 / 100
Djoliba 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bakaridjan Djoliba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bakaridjan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bakaridjan scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Djoliba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bakaridjan VS Djoliba
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bakaridjan

(Home)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
10 Jun
Onze Createurs
0 : 0
Bakaridjan
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
Bakaridjan
0 : 3
Djoliba
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Djoliba

(Away)
12 Sept
Djoliba
2 : 2
Club Africain
05 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0
Djoliba
14 Jun
Korofina
1 : 3
Djoliba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
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