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Bakaridjan vs USFAS Bamako

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Bakaridjan Logo

Bakaridjan

3 - 2
FT
USFAS Bamako Logo

USFAS Bamako

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bakaridjan in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bakaridjan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bakaridjan
30%
Draws
41%
USFAS Bamako
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USFAS Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USFAS Bamako lately — more wins on the board than Bakaridjan.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Bakaridjan Clean Sheet 68%
USFAS Bamako Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bakaridjan USFAS Bamako
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.52
Goals Conceded 1 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs USFAS Bamako
3:2
Nov 28, 2025 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Bakaridjan
2:0
May 18, 2025 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Bakaridjan
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs USFAS Bamako
0:2
May 27, 2024 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Bakaridjan
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakaridjan 41 / 100
USFAS Bamako 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bakaridjan USFAS Bamako

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bakaridjan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USFAS Bamako let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Bakaridjan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bakaridjan found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Bakaridjan VS USFAS Bamako
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bakaridjan

(Home)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
10 Jun
Onze Createurs
0 : 0
Bakaridjan
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
Bakaridjan
0 : 3
Djoliba
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USFAS Bamako

(Away)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)