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Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Betlemi Keda

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Kutubidze A.
40' Event
Endeladze A.
44' Event
Kutubidze A.

AI Match Summary

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri host Betlemi Keda in the Liga 3 2025. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Betlemi Keda have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Bakhmaro Chokhatauri have conceded 3.5 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Betlemi Keda slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 25, 2025, ending 0:4. xG projections (1.48 - 2.25) back Betlemi Keda to edge this. Betlemi Keda in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
39%
Draws
30%
Betlemi Keda
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Betlemi Keda has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bakhmaro Chokhatauri.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga 3 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Clean Sheet 10%
Betlemi Keda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Betlemi Keda
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 24 20
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2025 Liga 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Betlemi Keda
0:4
Apr 24, 2025 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
0:1
Oct 24, 2024 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
2:1
May 2, 2024 Liga 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Betlemi Keda
1:2
Nov 4, 2019 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Betlemi Keda Compare

Top Goalscorer Kutubidze A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Endeladze A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 / 100
Betlemi Keda 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Betlemi Keda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Betlemi Keda let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Betlemi Keda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri VS Betlemi Keda
0 Goals Scored 1
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shturmi30217268:2270
2Gori30207358:2867
3Odishi 191930204659:1964
4Dusheti30196579:3563
5FC Tbilisi 202530177659:3258
6WIT Georgia301410664:3252
7Orbi301111858:4044
8Didube301271147:4343
9Merani Tbilisi30881439:5232
10Betlemi Keda30781543:7129
11FC Gardabani30851737:6729
12Margveti 200630771636:7128
13Locomotive Tbilisi 230831943:6827
14Khobi30751835:6326
15Borjomi30651934:6023
16Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30342318:7413