Sport Picks

Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2013/2014

STU Tbilisi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri play STU Tbilisi in the Pirveli Liga 2013/2014. STU Tbilisi are favorites here. Recently, Bakhmaro Chokhatauri averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. STU Tbilisi averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. In past meetings, Bakhmaro Chokhatauri won 1, STU Tbilisi won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2014 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.67 for Bakhmaro Chokhatauri and 1.81 for STU Tbilisi. This points to a STU Tbilisi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

15%

Draws

58%

STU Tbilisi

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: STU Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri picked up more points recently compared to STU Tbilisi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.67 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Clean Sheet 11%

STU Tbilisi Clean Sheet 20%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bakhmaro Chokhatauri	STU Tbilisi
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	2	7
Draws	4	2
Losses	24	21
Goals Scored	0.5	1.17
Goals Conceded	2.6	2.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2014 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs STU Tbilisi

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Nov 6, 2013 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

STU Tbilisi vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 27 / 100

STU Tbilisi 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri STU Tbilisi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STU Tbilisi Win (2)

Secondary Pick STU Tbilisi & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri attacking → ← attacking STU Tbilisi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

STU Tbilisi let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

STU Tbilisi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 23

0.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00