Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bakili Baku vs Ravan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ravan in this First Division 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ravan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Bakili Baku
28%
Draws
22%
Ravan
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bakili Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ravan have won more games recently than Bakili Baku.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Bakili Baku taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ravan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bakili Baku Clean Sheet 10%
Ravan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bakili Baku Ravan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 3 2
Losses 23 21
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 3.38 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2017 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Ravan
1:5
Sep 30, 2016 I Liqa
Ravan vs Bakili Baku
3:2
Mar 16, 2015 I Liqa
Ravan vs Bakili Baku
5:1
Sep 29, 2014 I Liqa
Bakili Baku vs Ravan
0:2
Mar 13, 2011 I Liqa
Ravan vs Bakili Baku
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakili Baku 47 / 100
Ravan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bakili Baku Ravan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ravan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Ravan has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Bakili Baku found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Bakili Baku VS Ravan
1 Goals Scored 0.38
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bakili Baku

(Home)
27 Apr
Bakili Baku
1 : 7
Sabail
21 Apr
Mingachevir
1 : 1
Bakili Baku
14 Apr
Bakili Baku
4 : 0
Goyazan Qazax
09 Apr
Lokbatan
6 : 1
Bakili Baku
30 Mar
Sahdag Qusar
3 : 0
Bakili Baku
Page 1 of 6

Ravan

(Away)
27 Apr
Ravan
0 : 3
Sahdag Qusar
21 Apr
Sharurspor
0 : 0
Ravan
13 Apr
Ravan
0 : 3
Agsu (Inactive)
09 Apr
Sabail
3 : 0
Ravan
26 Mar
Ravan
0 : 3
Mingachevir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Turan26187162:1161
2Sabail26183580:2557
3Agsu (Inactive)26165563:2153
4Lokbatan26171864:3152
5Zaqatala PFK26154769:3149
6Shamkir26153841:2048
7Imisli FK26135853:3344
8MOIK Baku261061047:3136
9Sahdag Qusar26861236:4530
10Sharurspor26741536:5125
11Mingachevir26551625:8620
12Bakili Baku26322130:9911
13Goyazan Qazax26242020:9910
14Ravan26611924:6710
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)