Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa

Baku Sporting

0 - 0

Safa Baku

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between Baku Sporting and Safa Baku finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Baku Sporting

20%

Draws

38%

Safa Baku

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baku Sporting

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Safa Baku come out ahead of Baku Sporting on wins alone.
Win probability leans Baku Sporting's way, sitting at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Baku Sporting Clean Sheet 19%

Safa Baku Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Baku Sporting	Safa Baku
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	17
Draws	11	9
Losses	5	4
Goals Scored	1.38	1.5
Goals Conceded	1	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 I Liqa

Baku Sporting vs Safa Baku

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Feb 5, 2026 I Liqa

Safa Baku vs Baku Sporting

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Oct 17, 2025 I Liqa

Baku Sporting vs Safa Baku

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baku Sporting 42 / 100

Safa Baku 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Baku Sporting Safa Baku

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baku Sporting's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Baku Sporting stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Safa Baku's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Baku Sporting VS Safa Baku

1.38 Goals Scored 1.5

1 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18