Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baku Sporting vs Zaqatala PFK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Allahverdiyev I.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Allahverdiyev I.
90' Event
Kabamba M.

AI Match Summary

Baku Sporting in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baku Sporting.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Baku Sporting
6%
Draws
4%
Zaqatala PFK
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baku Sporting

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Baku Sporting have won more games recently than Zaqatala PFK.
  • Win probability leans Baku Sporting's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Baku Sporting Clean Sheet 68%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baku Sporting Zaqatala PFK
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 16 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 I Liqa
Baku Sporting vs Zaqatala PFK
3:0
Dec 24, 2025 I Liqa
Baku Sporting vs Zaqatala PFK
2:1
Oct 2, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Baku Sporting
1:1
Apr 10, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Baku Sporting
6:1
Feb 7, 2025 I Liqa
Baku Sporting vs Zaqatala PFK
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baku Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Allahverdiyev I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabamba M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baku Sporting 95 / 100
Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baku Sporting Zaqatala PFK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baku Sporting scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Zaqatala PFK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Baku Sporting remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baku Sporting VS Zaqatala PFK
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Baku Sporting

(Home)
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
07 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3
Baku Sporting
30 Apr
Baku Sporting
1 : 1
Difai Agsu
23 Apr
Shimal
1 : 0
Baku Sporting
Page 1 of 7

Zaqatala PFK

(Away)
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
06 May
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 3
Sabail
29 Apr
Mingachevir
7 : 1
Zaqatala PFK
22 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Safa Baku27169252:2157
2Mingachevir27156655:2751
3Sabail27148546:2150
4Baku Sporting271310440:2349
5Sahdag Qusar27127836:2743
6MOIK Baku27961233:4033
7Zaqatala PFK27841527:4428
8Cebrayil27731740:5624
9Shimal27551723:6120
10Difai Agsu27461728:6018
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)