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Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
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Match Events

56' Event
Hernandez J.
87'
Garcia J.

AI Match Summary

Alcantarilla in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcantarilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bala Azul
35%
Draws
42%
Alcantarilla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcantarilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bala Azul have won more games recently than Alcantarilla.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Bala Azul taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 20%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Azul Alcantarilla
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.26 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla
0:1
Mar 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Bala Azul
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bala Azul Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Alcantarilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala Azul 36 / 100
Alcantarilla 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Azul Alcantarilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bala Azul scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Alcantarilla conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Bala Azul remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bala Azul VS Alcantarilla
1.63 Goals Scored 0.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.33
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala Azul

(Home)
04 Oct
Cotillas CD
2 : 1
Bala Azul
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2
Bala Azul
Page 1 of 7

Alcantarilla

(Away)
04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0
Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 5 4 1 0 11:6 13
2 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
3 Alcantarilla 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
4 Molinense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
5 CA Pulpileno 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Cotillas CD 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
9 Santa Cruz 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
10 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
11 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
13 Bala Azul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
16 Deportivo Maritimo 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)