Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Lopez M.
35'
35'
Acosta Garrido I.
39'
39'
Rios J.
AI Match Summary
Caravaca in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caravaca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bala Azul lately — more wins on the board than Caravaca.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 17%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bala Azul | Caravaca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 13 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Caravaca
2:4
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Bala Azul
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Bala Azul
0:0
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Caravaca
1:1
Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Caravaca
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bala Azul Compare
Top Goalscorer Acosta Garrido I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Medina Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Caravaca Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rios J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bala Azul 31 / 100
Caravaca 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bala Azul Caravaca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caravaca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bala Azul found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Caravaca has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Bala Azul remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bala Azul VS Caravaca
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bala Azul
(Home) 27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1 Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0 Bala Azul
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0 Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2 Bala Azul
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1 Alcantarilla
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0 Mazarron FC
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
26 Apr
Bala Azul
3 : 4 Muleno CF
19 Apr
Bala Azul
0 : 0 Club Olimpico de Totana
Page 1 of 3
Caravaca
(Away) 09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1 Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0 Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1 Caravaca
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0 Caravaca
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1 Caravaca
28 Mar
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0 Caravaca
01 Mar
E.G. El Palmar
3 : 1 Caravaca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 65:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:44 | 59 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 59 |
| 4 | Club Olimpico de Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44:27 | 58 |
| 5 | Mazarron FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50:33 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55:37 | 55 |
| 7 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47:42 | 52 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30:29 | 50 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 39:36 | 40 |
| 12 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:39 | 38 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 14 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27:48 | 32 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38:64 | 32 |
| 16 | Caravaca | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:44 | 31 |
| 17 | Muleno CF | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:58 | 31 |
| 18 | Yeclano B | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:54 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
