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Bala Azul vs Caravaca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Lopez M.
35' Event
Acosta Garrido I.
39' Event
Rios J.

AI Match Summary

Caravaca in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caravaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bala Azul
39%
Draws
30%
Caravaca
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bala Azul lately — more wins on the board than Caravaca.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 20%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Azul Caravaca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 14 12
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Caravaca
2:4
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Bala Azul
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Bala Azul
0:0
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Caravaca
1:1
Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Caravaca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bala Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta Garrido I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medina Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Caravaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rios J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala Azul 32 / 100
Caravaca 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Azul Caravaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bala Azul found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Caravaca has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bala Azul remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bala Azul VS Caravaca
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala Azul

(Home)
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1
Bala Azul
26 Apr
Bala Azul
3 : 4
Muleno CF
19 Apr
Bala Azul
0 : 0
Club Olimpico de Totana
12 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 3
Bala Azul
Page 1 of 6

Caravaca

(Away)
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1
Caravaca
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Cieza342110365:2173
2Real Murcia B34178959:4459
3Molinense34178946:3459
4Club Olimpico de Totana341513644:2758
5Mazarron CF341414650:3356
6UCAM Murcia B341316555:3755
7Aguilas FC B3414101047:4252
8CA Pulpileno3413111030:2950
9Santa Cruz341461435:3748
10Minerva3411111228:3944
11Bala Azul348161039:3640
12FC Cartagena SAD B349111440:3938
13Deportivo Maritimo34991638:4636
14E.G. El Palmar34881827:4832
15Santomera34881838:6432
16Caravaca346131533:4431
17Muleno CF346131533:5831
18Yeclano B34691925:5427
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 (Play Offs)