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Bala Azul vs Huercal-Overa CF

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 game between Bala Azul and Huercal-Overa CF finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bala Azul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bala Azul
15%
Draws
0%
Huercal-Overa CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bala Azul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bala Azul carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bala Azul a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 68%
Huercal-Overa CF Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Azul Huercal-Overa CF
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 15 7
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.34 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Huercal-Overa CF
1:0
Dec 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Huercal-Overa CF vs Bala Azul
1:2
Mar 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Huercal-Overa CF
0:5
Oct 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Huercal-Overa CF vs Bala Azul
1:1
Apr 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Huercal-Overa CF
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala Azul 95 / 100
Huercal-Overa CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Azul Huercal-Overa CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bala Azul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Huercal-Overa CF has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Bala Azul scored in 76% of their last 38 games.

Huercal-Overa CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bala Azul VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala Azul

(Home)
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2
Bala Azul
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1
Bala Azul
26 Apr
Bala Azul
3 : 4
Muleno CF
Page 1 of 8

Huercal-Overa CF

(Away)
01 May
Huercal-Overa CF
0 : 1
Mazarron FC
24 Apr
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Huercal-Overa CF
16 Apr
Huercal-Overa CF
0 : 1
Ciudad de Murcia
09 Apr
Yeclano
3 : 0
Huercal-Overa CF
03 Apr
Huercal-Overa CF
0 : 1
Bullense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yeclano 34 24 8 2 71:21 80
2 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 17 9 8 61:32 60
3 Racing Murcia 34 15 12 7 48:27 57
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 15 9 10 49:34 54
5 La Union (Malacitano) 34 15 9 10 44:31 54
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 15 10 9 52:42 53
7 Real Murcia B 34 14 9 11 49:46 51
8 Caravaca 34 13 11 10 44:40 50
9 Ciudad de Murcia 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
10 Bullense 34 12 7 15 34:50 43
11 E.G. El Palmar 34 11 10 13 41:44 43
12 Archena Sport 34 12 7 15 48:49 43
13 Deportiva Minera 34 12 6 16 39:51 42
14 Bala Azul 34 10 10 14 30:45 40
15 Cartagena FC UCAM 34 10 8 16 35:49 38
16 Mazarron FC 34 10 7 17 33:48 37
17 Huercal-Overa CF 34 5 10 19 26:54 25
18 UD Los Garres 34 4 8 22 23:66 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 (Play Offs)