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Bala Azul vs Mazarron FC

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13
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Match Events

45' Event
Cruz T.
90'
Jimenez D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between Bala Azul and Mazarron FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bala Azul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bala Azul
35%
Draws
19%
Mazarron FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bala Azul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mazarron FC come out ahead of Bala Azul on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bala Azul's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 13%
Mazarron FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Azul Mazarron FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 14 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.23 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Mazarron FC
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Mazarron FC
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs Bala Azul
1:1
Apr 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs Bala Azul
3:1
Nov 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Mazarron FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bala Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Mazarron FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala Azul 35 / 100
Mazarron FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Azul Mazarron FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bala Azul scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Mazarron FC let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bala Azul remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bala Azul VS Mazarron FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala Azul

(Home)
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2
Bala Azul
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1
Bala Azul
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Mazarron FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Mazarron FC
1 : 2
Cotillas CD
24 May
Real Murcia B
2 : 0
Mazarron FC
16 May
Mazarron FC
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 San Javier 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
3 Bullas Deportivo 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
4 Alcantarilla 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
5 CA Pulpileno 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
6 UD Los Garres 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Bala Azul 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
8 UCAM Murcia B 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
9 Molinense 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
10 Santa Cruz 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
11 Club Olimpico de Totana 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
12 Minerva 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
13 Cotillas CD 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
14 Aguilas FC B 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 3 0 2 1 4:6 2
16 Mazarron FC 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
17 Deportivo Maritimo 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
18 CD Algar 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)