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Bala Azul vs Minerva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Cortes F.
89' Event
Roldan M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between Bala Azul and Minerva finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bala Azul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bala Azul
20%
Draws
29%
Minerva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bala Azul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Minerva come out ahead of Bala Azul on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bala Azul's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 68%
Minerva Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Azul Minerva
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.27 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Minerva
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Minerva
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Bala Azul
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Minerva
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Bala Azul
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bala Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortes F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roldan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Minerva Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala Azul 95 / 100
Minerva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Azul Minerva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bala Azul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bala Azul found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Bala Azul went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Minerva registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Minerva has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bala Azul VS Minerva
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala Azul

(Home)
01 Nov
Bala Azul
2 : 0
Minerva
25 Oct
Molinense
1 : 1
Bala Azul
10 Oct
CA Pulpileno
2 : 3
Bala Azul
04 Oct
Cotillas CD
2 : 1
Bala Azul
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 6

Minerva

(Away)
01 Nov
Bala Azul
2 : 0
Minerva
25 Oct
Minerva
1 : 3
Cotillas CD
11 Oct
Minerva
0 : 2
Aguilas FC B
04 Oct
Mazarron FC
0 : 1
Minerva
27 Sept
Minerva
1 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 8 7 1 0 21:7 22
2 Santa Cruz 8 4 3 1 14:10 15
3 San Javier 8 4 3 1 12:10 15
4 UCAM Murcia B 8 4 2 2 16:8 14
5 Aguilas FC B 8 3 5 0 11:6 14
6 Molinense 8 3 3 2 14:11 12
7 Bala Azul 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
8 CA Pulpileno 8 3 2 3 13:12 11
9 UD Los Garres 8 3 2 3 9:8 11
10 Club Olimpico de Totana 8 3 2 3 11:11 11
11 Cotillas CD 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Deportivo Maritimo 8 3 1 4 9:13 10
13 Alcantarilla 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
14 FC Cartagena SAD B 8 2 2 4 12:15 8
15 Minerva 8 2 2 4 4:9 8
16 CD Algar 8 2 0 6 5:16 6
17 Bullas Deportivo 8 1 2 5 10:18 5
18 Mazarron FC 8 1 1 6 12:17 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)