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Bala Azul vs Minerva

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bala Azul
20%
Draws
57%
Minerva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Minerva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Minerva lately — more wins on the board than Bala Azul.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 16%
Minerva Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Azul Minerva
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 13 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.23 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Minerva
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Bala Azul
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Minerva
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Bala Azul
0:0
May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Minerva
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala Azul 31 / 100
Minerva 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Azul Minerva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minerva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bala Azul scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Minerva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bala Azul stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bala Azul VS Minerva
2 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala Azul

(Home)
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2
Bala Azul
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1
Bala Azul
26 Apr
Bala Azul
3 : 4
Muleno CF
Page 1 of 6

Minerva

(Away)
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
Deportivo Maritimo
4 : 0
Minerva
26 Apr
Minerva
2 : 0
Molinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)