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Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bala Azul host Santa Cruz in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Bala Azul have averaged 1.23 scored and 1.19 conceded recently, against Santa Cruz's 1.14 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Santa Cruz slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.50) back Santa Cruz to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Bala Azul
35%
Draws
37%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Cruz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 16%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Azul Santa Cruz
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santa Cruz vs Bala Azul
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala Azul 31 / 100
Santa Cruz 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Azul Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bala Azul found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Santa Cruz has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Bala Azul has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bala Azul VS Santa Cruz
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala Azul

(Home)
10 Oct
CA Pulpileno
2 : 3
Bala Azul
04 Oct
Cotillas CD
2 : 1
Bala Azul
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
Page 1 of 7

Santa Cruz

(Away)
10 Oct
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Cotillas CD
04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
26 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Aguilas FC B
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
3 Alcantarilla 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
4 Molinense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
5 CA Pulpileno 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Cotillas CD 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
9 Santa Cruz 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
10 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
11 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
13 Bala Azul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
16 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
17 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)