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Bala vs Caersws FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Fri, Nov 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bala host Caersws FC in the Cymru North. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Bala have averaged 1.67 scored and 1.73 conceded recently, against Caersws FC's 1.93 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Bala slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 2.50, favoring Caersws FC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Bala
35%
Draws
45%
Caersws FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caersws FC lately — more wins on the board than Bala.
  • Model gives Caersws FC a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bala Clean Sheet 10%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Caersws FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Bala
3:3
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Bala vs Caersws FC
0:0
Jan 30, 2010 FAW Welsh Cup
Bala vs Caersws FC
2:0
Jan 23, 2010 Cymru Premier
Caersws FC vs Bala
1:3
Sep 5, 2009 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Caersws FC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala 26 / 100
Caersws FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Caersws FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caersws FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bala scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Caersws FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Bala has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bala VS Caersws FC
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala

(Home)
31 Oct
Brickfield Rangers
1 : 1
Bala
24 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
3 : 3
Bala
17 Oct
Bala
3 : 4
Holyhead
09 Oct
Bala
2 : 3
Buckley
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
Page 1 of 6

Caersws FC

(Away)
31 Oct
Caersws FC
1 : 1
Bangor 1876
24 Oct
Caersws FC
2 : 2
Guilsfield
10 Oct
Holyhead
1 : 1
Caersws FC
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
26 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 5
Caersws FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 12 8 3 1 22:5 27
3 Mold Alexandra 12 8 2 2 30:14 26
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 13 6 3 4 26:24 21
6 Caersws FC 12 5 5 2 25:18 20
7 Bangor 1876 12 5 3 4 24:19 18
8 Guilsfield 13 4 6 3 20:18 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
11 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
12 Denbigh 12 4 1 7 24:26 13
13 Ruthin Town 12 3 3 6 12:22 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 11 2 1 8 7:24 7
16 Penrhyncoch 12 0 1 11 6:37 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)