Sport Picks
Bala vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
Wales
Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Maes Tegid, Bala 
Match Events
33'
33'
Ferguson C.
46'
46'
Sub
John H. In: Kabongo D.
Out: John H.
57'
57'
Mwandwe L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Cymru Premier 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bala lately — more wins on the board than Cardiff Metropolitan University.
- Cardiff Metropolitan University are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Cymru Premier 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Bala Clean Sheet 11%
Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bala | Cardiff Metropolitan University |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Bala
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Bala
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Bala
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bala Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferguson C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Cardiff Metropolitan University Compare
Top Goalscorer Mwandwe L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bala 18 / 100
Cardiff Metropolitan University 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bala Cardiff Metropolitan University
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cardiff Metropolitan University Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cardiff Metropolitan University's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Bala's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Bala went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bala VS Cardiff Metropolitan University
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bala
(Home) 15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Bala
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2 Bala
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2 Bala
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1 Newtown
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3 Bala
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1 Newtown
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0 Gresford
07 Aug
Bala
2 : 1 Ruthin Town
27 Jun
Bala
0 : 4 Colwyn Bay
18 Apr
Bala
1 : 2 Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University
(Away) 18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1 Cardiff Metropolitan University
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
31 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Cardiff Metropolitan University
28 Aug
Cardiff Metropolitan University
3 : 0 Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1 Cardiff Metropolitan University
31 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Aug
Barry Town
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
07 Aug
Airbus UK Broughton FC
0 : 2 Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Haverfordwest | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 48:43 | 48 |
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 46:47 | 45 |
| 9 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 43:51 | 38 |
| 10 | Flint Town | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 48:59 | 35 |
| 11 | Bala | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33:45 | 32 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:82 | 13 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
