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Bala vs Flint Town

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Maes Tegid, Bala
Bala Logo

Bala

3 - 4
FT
Flint Town Logo

Flint Town

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mendes L.
18' Event
Stephenson D.
22' Event
Wynne B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Bala and Flint Town finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flint Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Bala
15%
Draws
8%
Flint Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Bala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bala a 77% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru Premier 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bala Clean Sheet 20%
Flint Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Flint Town
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Cymru Premier
Flint Town vs Bala
1:1
Jan 23, 2026 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Flint Town
3:4
Jan 13, 2026 Cymru Premier
Flint Town vs Bala
0:4
Aug 8, 2025 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Flint Town
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 FAW Welsh Cup
Flint Town vs Bala
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bala Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendes L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferguson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Flint Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Wynne B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stephenson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala 85 / 100
Flint Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Flint Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flint Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Bala scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Bala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bala VS Flint Town
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala

(Home)
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3
Bala
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Flint Town

(Away)
18 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
4 : 1
Flint Town
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
04 Sept
Caernarfon
3 : 0
Flint Town
31 Aug
Flint Town
1 : 2
Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Haverfordwest 32 14 6 12 48:43 48
8 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 45
9 Cardiff Metropolitan University 32 8 14 10 43:51 38
10 Flint Town 32 8 11 13 48:59 35
11 Bala 32 8 8 16 33:45 32
12 Llanelli 32 3 4 25 17:82 13
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)