Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Bala advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Bala carry the better recent record into this one.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Bala taking it.
- Bala have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Bala, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bala Clean Sheet 17%
Llanrhaeadr Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bala | Llanrhaeadr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 18, 2024 FA Cup
Bala vs Llanrhaeadr
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bala 84 / 100
Llanrhaeadr 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bala Llanrhaeadr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Llanrhaeadr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Bala found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Recent resilience: Bala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bala VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bala
(Home) 07 Aug
Bala
2 : 1 Ruthin Town
31 Jul
Bangor 1876
1 : 2 Bala
27 Jun
Bala
0 : 4 Colwyn Bay
18 Apr
Bala
1 : 2 Briton Ferry
03 Apr
Llanelli
0 : 5 Bala
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Bala
2 : 1 Ruthin Town
27 Jun
Bala
0 : 4 Colwyn Bay
18 Apr
Bala
1 : 2 Briton Ferry
21 Mar
Bala
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
27 Feb
Bala
0 : 0 Llanelli
Page 1 of 4
Llanrhaeadr
(Away) 18 Oct
Bala
3 : 1 Llanrhaeadr
21 Sept
Carno FC
0 : 4 Llanrhaeadr
23 Apr
Llanrhaeadr
0 : 3 Buckley
18 Apr
Llanrhaeadr
1 : 6 Llanidloes Town
15 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0 Llanrhaeadr
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Bala
3 : 1 Llanrhaeadr
21 Sept
Carno FC
0 : 4 Llanrhaeadr
15 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0 Llanrhaeadr
09 Apr
Colwyn Bay
5 : 0 Llanrhaeadr
26 Feb
Holywell Town FC
5 : 0 Llanrhaeadr
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cardiff Corries 4
Risca United 1
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llantwit Major 3
Ely Rangers 2
Caldicot 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United -
TBD -
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Llandudno FC 4
Llanberis FC 0
Kinmel Bay 3
Brickfield Rangers 1
Penydarren 4
Porthcawl Town 3
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Cwmbran Town 1
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno Amateurs 0
Holyhead 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 1
Rhydymwyn 0
Trearddur Bay 2
NFA 1
Penybont -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TNS -
TBD -
St. Asaph 0
Llangollen 2
Buckley 7
Builth 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruthin Town -
Queens Park 1
Porthmadog 6
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Goytre AFC 3
Pencoed 1
St Joseph's 0
Cardiff Draconians 3
Caersws FC 5
Cefn Albion 0
Rhyl 2
Flint Mountain 1
Bangor 1876 -
TBD -
Corwen 0
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerau Ely -
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
West End 0
Ynysygerwn 1
Rogerstone 3
Flint Town -
TBD -
Gresford 9
Prestatyn 0
Bala -
TBD -
Carno FC 0
Llanrhaeadr 4
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Trefelin 4
Newport Corinthians 1
Llwydcoed 0
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Penrhyncoch 2
Talysarn Celts 1
TBD -
Mold Alexandra -
New Inn 2
Abertillery Bluebirds 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanrwst United 5
Menai Bridge Tigers 1
Llansannan 0
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh -
TBD -
Llangefni 7
Gaerwen 1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix 1
Llanuwchllyn 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Aber Valley 3
Cwmamman United 1
Pure Swansea 5
Baglan Dragons 0
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Taffs Well 0
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Treherbert 1
Clwb Cymric 2
TBD -
Llanelli -
Newport City 0
Monmouth 2
Chepstow Town 0
Pill 1
1/32-finals
Cardiff Corries 3
Afan Lido 4
Llantwit Major 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United 1
Goytre Utd 0
Llandudno FC 4
Kinmel Bay 3
Penydarren 2
Pontypridd United 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Holyhead 1
Caernarfon 0
Llannefydd 1
Trearddur Bay 2
Penybont 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 16
Llangollen 0
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Ruthin Town 2
Porthmadog 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Goytre AFC 1
Cardiff Draconians 0
Caersws FC 7
Rhyl 4
Bangor 1876 2
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town 3
Caerau Ely 4
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
Rogerstone 4
Flint Town 5
Gresford 1
Bala 3
Llanrhaeadr 1
Trefelin 5
Newport Corinthians 0
Connahs Q. 5
Guilsfield 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Mold Alexandra 3
New Inn 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanrwst United 2
Cerrigydrudion 1
Denbigh 4
Llangefni 2
Llanuwchllyn 1
Newtown 0
Aber Valley 0
Pure Swansea 2
Aberystwyth 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Clwb Cymric 0
Llanelli 3
Monmouth 2
Pill 3
1/16-finals
Afan Lido 2
Morriston Town 1
Cambrian United 3
Llandudno FC 2
Penydarren 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Holyhead 1
Trearddur Bay 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Ruthin Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 7
Goytre AFC 1
Caersws FC 2
Bangor 1876 1
Caerau Ely 8
Rogerstone 1
Flint Town 2
Bala 3
Trefelin 1
Connahs Q. 2
Mold Alexandra 2
Briton Ferry 1
Llanrwst United 0
Denbigh 3
Llanuwchllyn 3
Pure Swansea 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 2
Llanelli 4
Pill 0
1/8-finals
Afan Lido 0
Cambrian United 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Holyhead 0
TNS 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Caersws FC 0
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Denbigh 7
Llanuwchllyn 1
Haverfordwest 0
Llanelli 2
Quarter-finals
Cambrian United 3
Carmarthen Town 1
TNS 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Caerau Ely 0
Connahs Q. 2
Denbigh 0
Llanelli 1
Semi-finals
Cambrian United 0
TNS 5
Connahs Q. 2
Llanelli 1
Final
TNS 2
Connahs Q. 1
