Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bala vs Neath Athletic

Wales Wales

Premier 2011/2012
Bala Logo

Bala

2 - 2
FT
Neath Athletic Logo

Neath Athletic

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Hughes C.
31' Event
Sheridan I.
44' Event
Hughes C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Bala
15%
Draws
26%
Neath Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Neath Athletic have won more games recently than Bala.
  • Bala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bala Clean Sheet 20%
Neath Athletic Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Neath Athletic
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.22 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2012 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Neath Athletic
2:2
Feb 12, 2012 Cymru Premier
Neath Athletic vs Bala
2:0
Nov 27, 2011 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Neath Athletic
0:0
Sep 25, 2011 Cymru Premier
Neath Athletic vs Bala
4:0
Dec 12, 2010 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Neath Athletic
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bala Compare

Top Goalscorer Sheridan I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murtagh C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Neath Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala 85 / 100
Neath Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Neath Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bala's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Neath Athletic let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bala VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala

(Home)
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3
Bala
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0
Gresford
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Neath Athletic

(Away)
21 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 5
Llanelli
15 Apr
Neath Athletic
1 : 3
Bangor City
07 Apr
Prestatyn
2 : 3
Neath Athletic
31 Mar
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Neath Athletic
25 Mar
Bala
2 : 2
Neath Athletic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 32 23 5 4 75:31 74
2 Bangor City 32 22 3 7 72:45 69
3 Neath Athletic 32 18 8 6 61:36 62
4 Llanelli 32 18 5 9 63:37 59
5 Bala 32 14 7 11 48:41 49
6 Prestatyn 32 8 4 20 41:63 28
Promotion - Champions League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Premier 2011/2012 (Europa League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier 2011/2012 (Europa League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier 2011/2012 (Europa League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier 2011/2012 (Europa League - Play Offs)