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Bala vs Newtown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Bala Logo

Bala

0 - 1
FT
Newtown Logo

Newtown

Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Harries J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Bala and Newtown finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newtown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Bala
35%
Draws
51%
Newtown
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Newtown carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Newtown are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bala Clean Sheet 10%
Newtown Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Newtown
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Cymru North
Bala vs Newtown
0:1
Sep 10, 2025 League Cup
Newtown vs Bala
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Cymru Premier
Newtown vs Bala
0:0
Sep 20, 2024 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Newtown
2:2
Apr 5, 2024 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Newtown
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Newtown Compare

Top Goalscorer Harries J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala 10 / 100
Newtown 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Newtown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newtown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bala scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Newtown's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bala VS Newtown
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala

(Home)
31 Oct
Brickfield Rangers
1 : 1
Bala
24 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
3 : 3
Bala
17 Oct
Bala
3 : 4
Holyhead
09 Oct
Bala
2 : 3
Buckley
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
Page 1 of 6

Newtown

(Away)
31 Oct
Newtown
2 : 0
Buckley
24 Oct
Rhyl
2 : 2
Newtown
17 Oct
Newtown
7 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
10 Oct
Newtown
0 : 0
Bangor 1876
03 Oct
Mold Alexandra
1 : 2
Newtown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 13 9 3 1 24:5 30
3 Mold Alexandra 13 8 3 2 32:16 27
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 14 7 3 4 27:24 24
6 Caersws FC 13 6 5 2 28:18 23
7 Bangor 1876 13 6 3 4 33:19 21
8 Guilsfield 14 4 6 4 20:19 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Denbigh 13 4 2 7 26:28 14
11 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
12 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
13 Ruthin Town 13 3 3 7 12:24 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 12 2 1 9 7:33 7
16 Penrhyncoch 13 0 1 12 6:40 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)