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Baladiyat El Mahalla vs Aswan Prediction & H2H Stats

Egypt Egypt

Division 2 A 2025/2026 El Mahalla Stadium, El Mahalla El Kubra
Baladiyat El Mahalla Logo

Baladiyat El Mahalla

2 - 1
FT
Aswan Logo

Aswan

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
El Sabahi M.
33' Event
Haitham A.
45' Event
Joshua O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 A 2025/2026 game between Baladiyat El Mahalla and Aswan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baladiyat El Mahalla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Baladiyat El Mahalla
15%
Draws
0%
Aswan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baladiyat El Mahalla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Baladiyat El Mahalla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Baladiyat El Mahalla a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Baladiyat El Mahalla Clean Sheet 68%
Aswan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baladiyat El Mahalla Aswan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.07 0.4
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2026 Division 2 A
Baladiyat El Mahalla vs Aswan
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Division 2 A
Aswan vs Baladiyat El Mahalla
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 Division 2 A
Aswan vs Baladiyat El Mahalla
0:0
Nov 25, 2024 Division 2 A
Baladiyat El Mahalla vs Aswan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baladiyat El Mahalla Compare

Top Goalscorer El Sabahi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joshua O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Aswan Compare

Top Goalscorer Haitham A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baladiyat El Mahalla 95 / 100
Aswan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baladiyat El Mahalla Aswan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baladiyat El Mahalla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Aswan has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Baladiyat El Mahalla found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Aswan has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Baladiyat El Mahalla VS Aswan
1 Goals Scored 0.67
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.33
50% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Baladiyat El Mahalla

(Home)
02 Oct
Baladiyat El Mahalla
3 : 1
Team FC
25 Sept
Tersana
1 : 1
Baladiyat El Mahalla
18 Sept
Baladiyat El Mahalla
0 : 1
Kahrabaa Ismailia
10 Sept
Pharco FC
2 : 1
Baladiyat El Mahalla
04 Sept
Baladiyat El Mahalla
1 : 0
Delta United
Page 1 of 6

Aswan

(Away)
14 May
Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat
5 : 1
Aswan
07 May
Aswan
0 : 2
El Daklyeh
30 Apr
Al Qanah
1 : 0
Aswan
23 Apr
Aswan
0 : 2
Masar
16 Apr
Al Sekka
2 : 1
Aswan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qanah 34 22 9 3 56:19 75
2 Asyut Petroleum 34 16 12 6 42:27 60
3 Abu Qir Semad 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
4 Masar 34 15 10 9 47:29 55
5 Proxy 34 13 16 5 41:31 55
6 La Viena 34 14 12 8 38:23 54
7 WE Sports Club 34 11 13 10 30:34 46
8 Al Sekka 34 12 10 12 28:33 46
9 El Mansoura 34 9 17 8 28:27 44
10 Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat 34 11 11 12 31:29 44
11 Tersana 34 8 16 10 31:32 40
12 El Entag El Harby 34 10 10 14 38:47 40
13 El Daklyeh 34 10 10 14 31:43 40
14 Dayrout 34 8 14 12 22:33 38
15 Tanta 34 5 18 11 27:36 33
16 Baladiyat El Mahalla 34 7 11 16 34:38 32
17 Aswan 34 5 10 19 15:42 25
18 Raya 34 4 10 20 20:51 22
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