Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Balaguer vs Montanesa

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 game between Balaguer and Montanesa finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montanesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Balaguer
15%
Draws
85%
Montanesa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montanesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montanesa come out ahead of Balaguer on wins alone.
  • Model gives Montanesa a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Montanesa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Balaguer Clean Sheet 20%
Montanesa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balaguer Montanesa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 12
Draws 11 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs Montanesa
3:1
Sep 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Balaguer
1:0
Jan 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs Montanesa
1:3
Aug 28, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Balaguer
2:0
May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs Montanesa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balaguer 10 / 100
Montanesa 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balaguer Montanesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montanesa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balaguer's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Montanesa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Montanesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montanesa
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Balaguer

(Home)
19 May
UE Rubi
10 : 2
Balaguer
11 May
Balaguer
0 : 3
Vilassar de Mar
04 May
UE Rapitenca
5 : 2
Balaguer
01 May
Balaguer
0 : 4
CE Europa
27 Apr
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
Balaguer
Page 1 of 6

Montanesa

(Away)
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1
Montanesa
06 Sept
Montanesa
3 : 0
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Montanesa
0 : 1
UE Vic
25 Apr
L Hospitalet
1 : 0
Montanesa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prat 38 22 9 7 57:27 75
2 Espanyol B 38 19 13 6 68:30 70
3 Manlleu AEC 38 18 11 9 73:48 65
4 Pobla Mafumet 38 18 10 10 52:27 64
5 Cornella 38 16 14 8 52:35 62
6 Santboia 38 16 10 12 47:43 58
7 Terrassa 38 16 10 12 57:55 58
8 FC Vilafranca 38 15 8 15 51:61 53
9 Gava 38 14 11 13 49:50 53
10 Olot 38 13 12 13 53:54 51
11 UE Rubi 38 14 8 16 61:54 50
12 Balaguer 38 13 10 15 36:52 49
13 UE Castelldefels 38 13 10 15 43:47 49
14 UE Vic 38 12 11 15 44:50 47
15 Montanesa 38 11 14 13 42:54 47
16 CE Europa 38 12 10 16 38:46 46
17 Gramenet 38 11 10 17 45:52 43
18 CF Vilanova 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Amposta 38 8 7 23 52:85 31
20 CD Masnou 38 5 9 24 32:68 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)