Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Balatonlelle vs Erdi

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Suszter L.

AI Match Summary

Erdi in this NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erdi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Balatonlelle
30%
Draws
43%
Erdi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Erdi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Balatonlelle haven't matched Erdi's recent run of results.
  • Erdi are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Erdi here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Balatonlelle Clean Sheet 11%
Erdi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balatonlelle Erdi
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.87 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Balatonlelle
3:2
Oct 19, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Balatonlelle vs Erdi
0:1
May 24, 2020 NB III - West
Erdi vs Balatonlelle
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 NB III - West
Balatonlelle vs Erdi
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balatonlelle Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Erdi Compare

Top Goalscorer Suszter L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balatonlelle 18 / 100
Erdi 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balatonlelle Erdi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balatonlelle found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Erdi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Balatonlelle stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Balatonlelle VS Erdi
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Balatonlelle

(Home)
24 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 3
Ivancsa
17 May
PTE-PEAC
1 : 1
Balatonlelle
10 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Dombovari
02 May
Erdi
3 : 2
Balatonlelle
26 Apr
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Paks II
Page 1 of 6

Erdi

(Away)
08 Aug
Erdi
3 : 1
Paks II
25 Jul
Erdi
3 : 3
Budaorsi SC
11 Jul
Bicskei
1 : 3
Erdi
24 May
Majosi
3 : 3
Erdi
17 May
Erdi
2 : 1
Kaposvar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)