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Balatonlelle vs MTK Budapest II Prediction & H2H Stats

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kovacs P.
16' Event
Ban G.
73'
Farkas M.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Balatonlelle and MTK Budapest II finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balatonlelle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Balatonlelle
15%
Draws
39%
MTK Budapest II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balatonlelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • MTK Budapest II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Balatonlelle are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Balatonlelle Clean Sheet 10%
MTK Budapest II Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balatonlelle MTK Budapest II
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.87 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Balatonlelle vs MTK Budapest II
3:0
Aug 6, 2025 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Balatonlelle
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balatonlelle Compare

Top Goalscorer Ban G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kovacs P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

MTK Budapest II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balatonlelle 40 / 100
MTK Budapest II 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balatonlelle MTK Budapest II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Balatonlelle scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

MTK Budapest II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Balatonlelle stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Balatonlelle VS MTK Budapest II
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Balatonlelle

(Home)
24 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 3
Ivancsa
17 May
PTE-PEAC
1 : 1
Balatonlelle
10 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Dombovari
02 May
Erdi
3 : 2
Balatonlelle
26 Apr
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Paks II
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MTK Budapest II

(Away)
03 Oct
Ferencvaros II
2 : 0
MTK Budapest II
19 Sept
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
MTK Budapest II
06 Sept
MTK Budapest II
4 : 2
Dunaharaszti MTK
29 Aug
Paks II
2 : 4
MTK Budapest II
15 Aug
Budaorsi SC
1 : 0
MTK Budapest II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)