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Balcatta vs Perth Azzurri

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Grindleford Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Fleming C.
59' Event
Flavel J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Balcatta and Perth Azzurri finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Balcatta
30%
Draws
47%
Perth Azzurri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Perth Azzurri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Perth Azzurri come out ahead of Balcatta on wins alone.
  • Model gives Perth Azzurri a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Balcatta Clean Sheet 10%
Perth Azzurri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balcatta Perth Azzurri
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.37 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Balcatta vs Perth Azzurri
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Perth Azzurri vs Balcatta
2:0
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Balcatta vs Perth Azzurri
2:2
Mar 15, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Perth Azzurri vs Balcatta
4:1
Jul 13, 2024 NPL Western Australia
Balcatta vs Perth Azzurri
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balcatta Compare

Top Goalscorer Flavel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Perth Azzurri Compare

Top Goalscorer Fleming C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balcatta 26 / 100
Perth Azzurri 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balcatta Perth Azzurri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perth Azzurri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perth Azzurri has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Balcatta scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Balcatta stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Balcatta VS Perth Azzurri
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Balcatta

(Home)
22 Aug
Balcatta
0 : 2
Dianella White Eagle
15 Aug
Western Knights
0 : 0
Balcatta
01 Aug
Balcatta
3 : 3
Armadale
25 Jul
Perth RedStar
0 : 0
Balcatta
18 Jul
Balcatta
2 : 0
Stirling Macedonia
Page 1 of 6

Perth Azzurri

(Away)
12 Sept
Bayswater
2 : 0
Perth Azzurri
08 Sept
Olympic Kingsway
0 : 2
Perth Azzurri
04 Sept
Perth RedStar
1 : 3
Perth Azzurri
22 Aug
Perth Azzurri
3 : 1
Sorrento
15 Aug
Perth Azzurri
5 : 2
Perth RedStar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)