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Baleares vs Alcoyano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baleares host Alcoyano in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. Alcoyano have shipped 0.71 goals a game lately, while Baleares have conceded 0.94 and scored 1.61. Past meetings favor Baleares slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.13) point toward Baleares. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Baleares
30%
Draws
42%
Alcoyano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcoyano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Alcoyano haven't matched Baleares's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Alcoyano's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Baleares Clean Sheet 20%
Alcoyano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baleares Alcoyano
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 18 14
Draws 8 11
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.61 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Alcoyano vs Baleares
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Baleares vs Alcoyano
1:1
Mar 24, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcoyano vs Baleares
1:1
Dec 3, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Baleares vs Alcoyano
2:1
Apr 9, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Baleares vs Alcoyano
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baleares 28 / 100
Alcoyano 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baleares Alcoyano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcoyano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baleares's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Baleares remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Alcoyano conceded in 45% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Baleares VS Alcoyano
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baleares

(Home)
11 Oct
Baleares
2 : 2
Mallorca B
04 Oct
Baleares
2 : 1
UD Poblense
27 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 1
Baleares
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4
UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
CF Intercity
2 : 2
Baleares
Page 1 of 7

Alcoyano

(Away)
11 Oct
UCAM Murcia
2 : 0
Alcoyano
04 Oct
Mallorca B
0 : 1
Alcoyano
27 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
Deportiva Minera
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
12 Sept
Castellon B
3 : 0
Alcoyano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 6 4 0 2 14:6 12
2 Castellon B 6 4 0 2 13:7 12
3 La Nucia 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
4 Castellonense 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
5 Ciudad Cieza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 Deportiva Minera 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
7 Alcoyano 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
8 Yeclano 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
9 CF Intercity 6 2 3 1 8:8 9
10 Lorca Deportiva 6 2 2 2 6:5 8
11 Ilicitano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 Orihuela 6 2 1 3 7:14 7
13 Mallorca B 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
14 Baleares 6 1 3 2 8:11 6
15 UD Poblense 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
16 Pena Deportiva 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
17 Valencia B 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
18 Real Murcia B 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)