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Baleares vs CE Atletic Lleida

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 Estadio Balear, Palma
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Morillo M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Baleares and CE Atletic Lleida finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baleares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Baleares
15%
Draws
21%
CE Atletic Lleida
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baleares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Baleares carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Baleares are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Baleares Clean Sheet 68%
CE Atletic Lleida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baleares CE Atletic Lleida
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.68 1
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.53 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Baleares vs CE Atletic Lleida
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
CE Atletic Lleida vs Baleares
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baleares Compare

Top Goalscorer Morillo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

CE Atletic Lleida Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baleares 95 / 100
CE Atletic Lleida 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baleares CE Atletic Lleida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baleares Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Baleares scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

CE Atletic Lleida let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Baleares remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: CE Atletic Lleida registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baleares VS CE Atletic Lleida
1.63 Goals Scored 0.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Baleares

(Home)
15 Aug
Mallorca B
1 : 3
Baleares
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Baleares
01 Aug
Baleares
4 : 1
Santanyi
25 Jul
Baleares
2 : 1
Mallorca B
31 May
Baleares
1 : 2
Jaen
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CE Atletic Lleida

(Away)
08 Aug
UD Barbastro
2 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
03 May
Andratx
3 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
26 Apr
Barcelona B
2 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
19 Apr
CE Atletic Lleida
2 : 0
SD Ibiza
12 Apr
Girona B
3 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sant Andreu 34 20 6 8 51:33 66
2 Baleares 34 19 9 6 53:34 66
3 UD Poblense 34 16 11 7 41:28 59
4 Reus FC Reddis 34 16 7 11 50:38 55
5 Alcoyano 34 13 16 5 30:20 55
6 Barcelona B 34 14 10 10 62:40 52
7 Girona B 34 12 11 11 45:37 47
8 Terrassa 34 11 13 10 36:44 46
9 Valencia B 34 10 14 10 53:50 44
10 Espanyol B 34 10 14 10 34:35 44
11 UD Barbastro 34 10 13 11 32:31 43
12 Olot 34 10 12 12 31:32 42
13 Castellon B 34 11 9 14 59:72 42
14 SD Ibiza 34 10 10 14 35:44 40
15 Andratx 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
16 CE Atletic Lleida 34 6 12 16 37:51 30
17 Torrent 34 7 9 18 36:53 30
18 Porreres 34 6 9 19 22:44 27
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)