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Baleares vs Eldense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey Estadio Balear, Palma
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Montcheu F.
36'
Nieto M.
44'
Lopez I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Baleares
20%
Draws
42%
Eldense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eldense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baleares lately — more wins on the board than Eldense.
  • Baleares are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Baleares have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Baleares, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Baleares Clean Sheet 68%
Eldense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baleares Eldense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.73 1.34
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2026 Copa del Rey
Baleares vs Eldense
0:1
Feb 5, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Eldense vs Baleares
2:1
Oct 23, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Baleares vs Eldense
3:1
Mar 5, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Baleares vs Eldense
5:0
Oct 16, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Eldense vs Baleares
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baleares Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Eldense Compare

Top Goalscorer Recio I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baleares 68 / 100
Eldense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baleares Eldense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baleares Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baleares scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Eldense let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Baleares has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baleares VS Eldense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Baleares

(Home)
01 Nov
Pena Deportiva
1 : 3
Baleares
29 Oct
Baleares
0 : 1
Eldense
25 Oct
Baleares
2 : 0
Alcoyano
18 Oct
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 2
Baleares
11 Oct
Baleares
2 : 2
Mallorca B
Page 1 of 6

Eldense

(Away)
01 Nov
Eldense
0 : 2
Granada CF
29 Oct
Baleares
0 : 1
Eldense
25 Oct
Albacete
2 : 0
Eldense
18 Oct
Valladolid
2 : 3
Eldense
10 Oct
Eldense
2 : 1
Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Ribadesella CF 2
SD Noja 1
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Racing Santander -
Auriense 2
CD San Jose 1
TBD -
Dep. A Coruna -
Salamanca CF UDS -
TBD -
TBD -
Celta Vigo -
Covadonga -
TBD -
TBD -
Valladolid -
Guijuelo -
TBD -
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Gijon -
CD Laredo -
TBD -
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Burgos CF -
Numancia -
TBD -
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Real Oviedo -
Llanera -
TBD -
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Ponferradina -
Arosa SC -
TBD -
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Pontevedra -
Atletico Tordesillas -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirandes -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
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Leonesa -
Coruxo FC -
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Zamora -
Real Avila -
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Unionistas de Salamanca -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
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UD Ourense -
Atletico Calatayud 4
CD Baztan 1
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Osasuna -
Anaitasuna FT 10
CD Tedeon 2
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Alaves -
El Espinar Sant Rafel 1
Prat 10
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Ath Bilbao -
Sestao -
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Espanyol -
Varea -
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FC Andorra -
CD Cuarte -
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Girona -
Pamplona -
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Eibar -
Utebo FC -
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Sabadell -
Pena -
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Huesca -
Tudelano -
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Zaragoza -
CE Manresa -
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Sant Andreu -
Calamocha -
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CE Europa -
Reus FC Reddis -
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Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
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UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
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Real Union -
Maracena 1
Tavernes 2
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Valencia -
Pinatar 11
Atletico Melilla 0
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Elche -
Talayuela 1
Sporting de Alcazar CF 3
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Malaga -
CD Tarancon -
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Levante -
Manacor -
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Villarreal -
Castellonense -
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Almeria -
Alcoyano -
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Mallorca -
Conquense -
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Castellon -
UD Poblense -
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AD Ceuta -
Puertollano C.F. -
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Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza -
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Granada CF -
Baleares -
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Eldense -
Deportiva Minera -
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FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
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Jaen -
Antequera -
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Aguilas FC -
Lebrijana 7
Ceuta 6 de Junio 1
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Getafe -
Hortaleza 4
Atletico Union Guimar 3
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Sevilla -
Recreativo Huelva -
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Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
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Betis -
Trival Valderas -
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Leganes -
RSD Alcala -
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Las Palmas -
CD Badajoz -
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Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
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Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
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Cordoba -
San Sebastian Reyes -
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CD Coria -
Don Benito -
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CD Extremadura -
Ciudad de Lucena -
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1/64-finals
Ribadesella CF 0
Racing Santander 2
Auriense 0
Dep. A Coruna 3
Salamanca CF UDS -
Celta Vigo -
Covadonga 0
Valladolid 1
Guijuelo 1
Gijon 3
CD Laredo 2
Burgos CF 4
Numancia 4
Real Oviedo 3
Llanera 1
Ponferradina 2
Arosa SC 2
Pontevedra 0
Atletico Tordesillas 3
Mirandes 4
Gimnastica Segoviana 0
Leonesa 1
Coruxo FC 0
Zamora 2
Real Avila 1
Unionistas de Salamanca 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 3
UD Ourense 1
Atletico Calatayud 0
Osasuna 6
Anaitasuna FT -
Alaves -
Prat 1
Ath Bilbao 6
Sestao 4
Espanyol 3
Varea 0
FC Andorra 3
CD Cuarte 0
Girona 2
Pamplona -
Eibar -
Utebo FC -
Sabadell -
Pena 1
Huesca 5
Tudelano 0
Zaragoza 4
CE Manresa 2
Sant Andreu 3
Calamocha 0
CE Europa 3
Reus FC Reddis -
Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
Real Union -
Tavernes -
Valencia -
Pinatar 1
Elche 3
Sporting de Alcazar CF 0
Malaga 3
CD Tarancon -
Levante -
Manacor 0
Villarreal 5
Castellonense 1
Almeria 2
Alcoyano -
Mallorca -
Conquense 0
Castellon 3
UD Poblense 1
AD Ceuta 2
Puertollano C.F. -
Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza 0
Granada CF 3
Baleares 0
Eldense 1
Deportiva Minera -
FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
Jaen -
Antequera 2
Aguilas FC 0
Lebrijana 2
Getafe 3
Hortaleza 0
Sevilla 3
Recreativo Huelva 2
Rayo Vallecano 3
Navalcarnero -
Betis -
Trival Valderas -
Leganes -
RSD Alcala 1
Las Palmas 3
CD Badajoz -
Tenerife -
Xerez CD 1
Cadiz 3
Atletico Paso 3
Cordoba 1
San Sebastian Reyes 1
CD Coria 2
Don Benito 2
CD Extremadura 4
Ciudad de Lucena 0
Rayo Majadahonda 1
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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