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Baleares vs Jaen

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Balear, Palma
Sun, May 31, 2026
1 - 2
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tovar J.
99' Event
Siverio M.
105' Event
Carrillo J.

AI Match Summary

Jaen in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Baleares
20%
Draws
47%
Jaen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jaen lately — more wins on the board than Baleares.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Jaen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jaen, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Baleares Clean Sheet 18%
Jaen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baleares Jaen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.71 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Baleares vs Jaen
1:2
May 24, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Jaen vs Baleares
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baleares Compare

Top Goalscorer Tovar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Siverio M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carrillo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baleares 36 / 100
Jaen 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baleares Jaen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Baleares scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Jaen let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Baleares has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baleares VS Jaen
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baleares

(Home)
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4
UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
CF Intercity
2 : 2
Baleares
06 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0
Baleares
30 Aug
Baleares
3 : 1
Porreres
22 Aug
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 3
Baleares
Page 1 of 6

Jaen

(Away)
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Jaen
2 : 2
Huesca
30 Aug
CE Europa
0 : 3
Jaen
06 Aug
Jaen
1 : 2
Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Alaves B 2
Jaen 3
Baleares 4
Coruxo FC 1
Deportiva Minera 0
CD Coria 1
Real Oviedo B 3
Tudelano 1
UD Logrones 4
Getafe B 1
San Sebastian Reyes 3
Alcoyano 1
UD Ourense 2
Reus FC Reddis 1
Conquense 1
Xerez CD 1
Aguilas FC 4
Utebo FC 2
UD Poblense 3
Numancia 1
Final
Jaen 4
Baleares 2
CD Coria 4
Real Oviedo B 0
UD Logrones 2
San Sebastian Reyes 1
UD Ourense 3
Conquense 0
Aguilas FC 2
UD Poblense 1