Sport Picks

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Baleares vs Jaen

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Balear, Palma
Sun, May 31, 2026
1 - 2
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tovar J.
99' Event
Siverio M.
105' Event
Carrillo J.

AI Match Summary

Jaen in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Baleares
30%
Draws
34%
Jaen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baleares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baleares lately — more wins on the board than Jaen.
  • Baleares are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Baleares have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jaen, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Baleares Clean Sheet 20%
Jaen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baleares Jaen
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Baleares vs Jaen
1:2
May 24, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Jaen vs Baleares
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baleares Compare

Top Goalscorer Tovar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Siverio M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carrillo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baleares 36 / 100
Jaen 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baleares Jaen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Baleares scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Jaen let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Baleares has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baleares VS Jaen
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baleares

(Home)
01 Aug
Baleares
4 : 1
Santanyi
25 Jul
Baleares
2 : 1
Mallorca B
31 May
Baleares
1 : 2
Jaen
24 May
Jaen
2 : 1
Baleares
17 May
Baleares
1 : 1
Coruxo FC
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Jaen

(Away)
01 Aug
Linares
0 : 2
Jaen
24 Jul
Cacereno
1 : 1
Jaen
31 May
Baleares
1 : 2
Jaen
24 May
Jaen
2 : 1
Baleares
17 May
Alaves B
0 : 2
Jaen
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Alaves B 2
Jaen 3
Baleares 4
Coruxo FC 1
Deportiva Minera 0
CD Coria 1
Real Oviedo B 3
Tudelano 1
UD Logrones 4
Getafe B 1
San Sebastian Reyes 3
Alcoyano 1
UD Ourense 2
Reus FC Reddis 1
Conquense 1
Xerez CD 1
Aguilas FC 4
Utebo FC 2
UD Poblense 3
Numancia 1
Final
Jaen 4
Baleares 2
CD Coria 4
Real Oviedo B 0
UD Logrones 2
San Sebastian Reyes 1
UD Ourense 3
Conquense 0
Aguilas FC 2
UD Poblense 1