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Baleares vs Olot

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 Estadio Balear, Palma
Our Tip

Match Events

72'
Lopez P.
90' Event
Keita M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Baleares and Olot finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baleares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Baleares
20%
Draws
15%
Olot
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baleares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baleares come out ahead of Olot on wins alone.
  • Model gives Baleares a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Baleares Clean Sheet 68%
Olot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baleares Olot
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.68 1
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Baleares vs Olot
1:0
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Olot vs Baleares
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Baleares vs Olot
2:2
Nov 3, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Olot vs Baleares
0:2
Mar 3, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Olot vs Baleares
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baleares 95 / 100
Olot 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baleares Olot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baleares Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baleares found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Olot conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Baleares stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baleares VS Olot
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baleares

(Home)
15 Aug
Mallorca B
1 : 3
Baleares
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Baleares
01 Aug
Baleares
4 : 1
Santanyi
25 Jul
Baleares
2 : 1
Mallorca B
31 May
Baleares
1 : 2
Jaen
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Olot

(Away)
15 Aug
Olot
0 : 0
Sant Andreu
09 Aug
Olot
0 : 3
Sabadell
01 Aug
Olot
1 : 1
Gimnastic de Tarragona
22 Jul
Olot
1 : 3
Girona
18 Jul
Olot
0 : 3
Espanyol
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sant Andreu 34 20 6 8 51:33 66
2 Baleares 34 19 9 6 53:34 66
3 UD Poblense 34 16 11 7 41:28 59
4 Reus FC Reddis 34 16 7 11 50:38 55
5 Alcoyano 34 13 16 5 30:20 55
6 Barcelona B 34 14 10 10 62:40 52
7 Girona B 34 12 11 11 45:37 47
8 Terrassa 34 11 13 10 36:44 46
9 Valencia B 34 10 14 10 53:50 44
10 Espanyol B 34 10 14 10 34:35 44
11 UD Barbastro 34 10 13 11 32:31 43
12 Olot 34 10 12 12 31:32 42
13 Castellon B 34 11 9 14 59:72 42
14 SD Ibiza 34 10 10 14 35:44 40
15 Andratx 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
16 CE Atletic Lleida 34 6 12 16 37:51 30
17 Torrent 34 7 9 18 36:53 30
18 Porreres 34 6 9 19 22:44 27
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)