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Bali United vs Java United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium, Gianyar
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Match Events

29'
Adi B.
32' Event
Ciro
Assist: Rustam T.
37'
da Silva D.

AI Match Summary

Bali United in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bali United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Bali United
20%
Draws
20%
Java United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bali United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Bali United have won more games recently than Java United.
  • Bali United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bali United Clean Sheet 12%
Java United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bali United Java United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.68 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Super League
Bali United vs Java United
4:1
Aug 15, 2025 Super League
Java United vs Bali United
3:3
Feb 17, 2025 Super League
Bali United vs Java United
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Super League
Java United vs Bali United
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bali United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrari J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kopitovic B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Java United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bali United 83 / 100
Java United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bali United Java United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bali United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Bali United's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Java United conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Java United's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bali United VS Java United
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bali United

(Home)
20 Sept
Borneo
1 : 0
Bali United
12 Sept
Bali United
4 : 1
Isenmulang Kalteng
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
18 Aug
Persib Bandung
3 : 2
Bali United
13 Aug
Bali United
1 : 2
Sabah
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Java United

(Away)
19 Sept
Persija Jakarta
1 : 0
Java United
13 Sept
Persita
3 : 2
Java United
06 Sept
Java United
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
23 May
Borneo
7 : 1
Java United
16 May
Java United
1 : 1
Persita
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)