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Stadium Background

Balikesirspor vs Altay

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 Balikesir Ataturk Stadyumu
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Balikesirspor play Altay in the 3. Lig Group 4. It looks like a close match. Recently, Balikesirspor averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Altay averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Balikesirspor won 3, Altay won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 15, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Balikesirspor and 0.50 for Altay. This points to a Balikesirspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Balikesirspor
33%
Draws
27%
Altay
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Balikesirspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Balikesirspor has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Altay.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Balikesirspor.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 3. Lig Group 4 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Balikesirspor Clean Sheet 20%
Altay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balikesirspor Altay
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 18 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Balikesirspor vs Altay
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Altay vs Balikesirspor
0:1
Mar 14, 2021 1. Lig
Balikesirspor vs Altay
0:3
Nov 6, 2020 1. Lig
Altay vs Balikesirspor
1:3
Feb 2, 2020 1. Lig
Balikesirspor vs Altay
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balikesirspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Arican A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kirca T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Altay Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balikesirspor 40 / 100
Altay 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balikesirspor Altay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balikesirspor scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Altay let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Balikesirspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Altay lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Balikesirspor VS Altay
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184