Sport Picks
Balikesirspor vs Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
Turkey
3. Lig Group 4 Balikesir Ataturk Stadyumu, Balikesir 
Match Events
5'
5'
Akcakin A.
(Penalty)
78'
78'
Gundogdu H.
Assist: Yilmaz B.
88'
88'
Candogan N.
Assist: Mutlu A.
AI Match Summary
The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Balikesirspor and Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balikesirspor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Balikesirspor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Balikesirspor carry the better recent record into this one.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Balikesirspor taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Balikesirspor Clean Sheet 68%
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Balikesirspor | Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu vs Balikesirspor
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Balikesirspor vs Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Balikesirspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Gundogdu H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Topcu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu Compare
Top Goalscorer Candogan N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Balikesirspor 77 / 100
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Balikesirspor Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Balikesirspor's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Balikesirspor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Balikesirspor VS Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Balikesirspor
(Home) 28 Apr
Eskisehirspor
3 : 0 Balikesirspor
24 Apr
Balikesirspor
2 : 1 Eskisehirspor
18 Apr
Bornova 1877
1 : 4 Balikesirspor
12 Apr
Balikesirspor
1 : 1 Eskisehirspor
05 Apr
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 1 Balikesirspor
Page 1 of 7
24 Apr
Balikesirspor
2 : 1 Eskisehirspor
12 Apr
Balikesirspor
1 : 1 Eskisehirspor
29 Mar
Balikesirspor
1 : 2 Ayvalikgucu
15 Mar
Balikesirspor
3 : 0 Altay
28 Feb
Balikesirspor
1 : 0 Izmir Coruhlu
Page 1 of 4
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
(Away) 18 Apr
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
3 : 3 Eskisehir Anadolu
12 Apr
Alanya 1221
0 : 0 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
05 Apr
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 1 Balikesirspor
29 Mar
Kutahyaspor
1 : 0 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
25 Mar
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 5 Karsiyaka
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
Alanya 1221
0 : 0 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
29 Mar
Kutahyaspor
1 : 0 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
15 Mar
Tire 2021 FK
0 : 3 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
28 Feb
Bornova 1877
0 : 1 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
08 Feb
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 1 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kutahyaspor | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 69:18 | 75 |
| 2 | Eskisehirspor | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 74:18 | 71 |
| 3 | Karsiyaka | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64:19 | 67 |
| 4 | Ayvalikgucu | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 59:27 | 59 |
| 5 | Balikesirspor | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 59:24 | 58 |
| 6 | Usak Belediyespor Kulubu | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 48 |
| 7 | Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 37:33 | 47 |
| 8 | Alanya 1221 | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 28:33 | 38 |
| 9 | Tire 2021 FK | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 47:39 | 37 |
| 10 | Soke 1970 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 39:43 | 35 |
| 11 | Eskisehir Anadolu | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 44:42 | 35 |
| 12 | Altay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 29:41 | 28 |
| 13 | Izmir Coruhlu | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 28:66 | 23 |
| 14 | Afyonspor | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 31:61 | 22 |
| 15 | Bornova 1877 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 35:68 | 21 |
| 16 | Nazillispor | 30 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 7:118 | 4 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)