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Balikesirspor vs Izmir Coruhlu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 Balikesir Ataturk Stadyumu
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Sonmez Y.

AI Match Summary

Balikesirspor in this 3. Lig Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Balikesirspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Balikesirspor
11%
Draws
9%
Izmir Coruhlu
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Balikesirspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Balikesirspor have won more games recently than Izmir Coruhlu.
  • Model gives Balikesirspor a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Balikesirspor Clean Sheet 68%
Izmir Coruhlu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balikesirspor Izmir Coruhlu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Balikesirspor vs Izmir Coruhlu
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Izmir Coruhlu vs Balikesirspor
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Izmir Coruhlu vs Balikesirspor
2:1
Dec 10, 2023 3. Lig Group 4
Balikesirspor vs Izmir Coruhlu
2:2
Nov 19, 1995 1. Lig
Izmir Coruhlu vs Balikesirspor
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balikesirspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Sonmez Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Izmir Coruhlu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balikesirspor 86 / 100
Izmir Coruhlu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balikesirspor Izmir Coruhlu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balikesirspor found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Izmir Coruhlu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Balikesirspor remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Balikesirspor VS Izmir Coruhlu
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184