Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2024/2025 Balikesir Ataturk Stadyumu

Nevsehir

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Balikesirspor play Nevsehir in the 3. Lig Group 2 2024/2025. Balikesirspor are favorites here. Recently, Balikesirspor averaged 2.06 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. Nevsehir averaged 0.53 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Balikesirspor won 4, Nevsehir won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 6, 2025 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Balikesirspor and 0.94 for Nevsehir. This points to a Balikesirspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%

Balikesirspor

19%

Draws

15%

Nevsehir

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Balikesirspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence

Balikesirspor picked up more points recently compared to Nevsehir.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Balikesirspor Clean Sheet 24%

Nevsehir Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Balikesirspor	Nevsehir
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	20	3
Draws	6	11
Losses	7	16
Goals Scored	2.06	0.53
Goals Conceded	0.85	1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 3. Lig Group 2

Nevsehir vs Balikesirspor

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 4 - 0

0:5

Nov 23, 2024 3. Lig Group 2

Balikesirspor vs Nevsehir

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Feb 4, 2024 3. Lig Group 4

Balikesirspor vs Nevsehir

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Sep 23, 2023 3. Lig Group 4

Nevsehir vs Balikesirspor

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balikesirspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Dede E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Altinsoy V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Nevsehir Compare

Top Goalscorer Aslan M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balikesirspor 64 / 100

Nevsehir 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Balikesirspor Nevsehir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balikesirspor Win (1)

Secondary Pick Balikesirspor & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.5%

1.72

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Balikesirspor attacking → ← attacking Nevsehir

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balikesirspor scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

Nevsehir let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Balikesirspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nevsehir lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 20

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Muglaspor	30	18	7	5	42:19	61
2	Balikesirspor	30	17	5	8	54:27	56
3	Amasyaspor	30	13	10	7	48:36	49
4	Silivrispor	30	14	7	9	46:36	49
5	Tire 2021 FK	30	13	9	8	47:28	48
6	Mazidagi	30	10	16	4	34:18	46
7	Usak Belediyespor Kulubu	30	12	9	9	45:29	45
8	Etimesgut	30	12	9	9	37:32	45
9	Cayeli SK	30	11	11	8	33:29	44
10	Fatsa Bld.	30	11	6	13	31:39	39
11	Turk Metal 1963	30	9	9	12	37:46	36
12	Beykoz Ishakli Spor	30	10	6	14	42:41	36
13	Inegol Kafkas	30	9	8	13	34:38	35
14	Kelkit Bld.	30	7	11	12	31:37	32
15	Nevsehir	30	4	11	15	17:55	23
16	Adiyaman FK	30	1	4	25	14:82	4