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Balikpapan vs Bali United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

I.League Cup Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan
Balikpapan Logo

Balikpapan

1 - 6
FT
Bali United Logo

Bali United

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Arjuna R.
13'
Arel K.
28' Event
Rizky Dwi
Assist: Herdman J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-6. The second leg ended 1-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Balikpapan
15%
Draws
65%
Bali United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bali United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Balikpapan haven't matched Bali United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bali United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Bali United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Balikpapan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 10%
Bali United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balikpapan Bali United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 3 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.79 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2026 I.League Cup
Balikpapan vs Bali United
1:6
Oct 16, 2017 Super League
Balikpapan vs Bali United
3:2
Jul 5, 2017 Super League
Bali United vs Balikpapan
2:0
Oct 9, 2016 Super League
Bali United vs Balikpapan
1:2
May 30, 2016 Super League
Balikpapan vs Bali United
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balikpapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoshihama R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bali United Compare

Top Goalscorer Raven J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arjuna R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balikpapan 10 / 100
Bali United 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balikpapan Bali United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bali United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Bali United conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Balikpapan found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Balikpapan stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Balikpapan VS Bali United
0.75 Goals Scored 2.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Balikpapan

(Home)
29 Oct
Balikpapan
3 : 1
PSBS Biak Numfor
23 Oct
Persipura Jayapura
5 : 1
Balikpapan
16 Oct
Balikpapan
0 : 3
Tornado Pekanbaru
10 Oct
PS Barito Putera
2 : 0
Balikpapan
04 Oct
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 0
Balikpapan
Page 1 of 6

Bali United

(Away)
31 Oct
Arema FC
1 : 3
Bali United
25 Oct
Persita
1 : 1
Bali United
21 Oct
Bali United
5 : 0
Garudayaksa
16 Oct
Java United
3 : 2
Bali United
10 Oct
Bali United
6 : 1
Persijap Jepara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
2 PSMS Medan 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Sumsel United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Semen Padang 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 PSPS Riau 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 FC Bhayangkara 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Persiraja Aceh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persita 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Java United 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 PSIS Semarang 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Bekasi City 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikad Depok 1 1 0 0 6:2 3
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persiku Kudus 1 0 0 1 2:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 Garudayaksa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 PSGC Ciamis 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tornado Pekanbaru 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 PSBS Biak Numfor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persebaya 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persik Kediri 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Persis Solo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Deltras Sidoarjo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Madura United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persijap Jepara 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bali United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Balikpapan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 PS Barito Putera 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSM Makassar 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Persipura Jayapura 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 De Red 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arema FC 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 RANS Nusantara 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)