Sport Picks
Balikpapan vs De Red - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
Championship Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan 
Match Events
40'
40'
Supriadi
46'
46'
Sub
Febrianto I. In: Bajo I.
Out: Febrianto I.
46'
46'
Sub
Aziz A. In: El Burji W.
Out: Aziz A.
AI Match Summary
De Red in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored De Red.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: De Red
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- De Red have won more games recently than Balikpapan.
- Model gives De Red a 50% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 13%
De Red Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Balikpapan | De Red |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 25, 2026 Championship
Balikpapan vs De Red
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Balikpapan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
De Red Compare
Top Goalscorer Supriadi
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Balikpapan 10 / 100
De Red 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Balikpapan De Red
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick De Red Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
De Red's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Balikpapan found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Solid form: Balikpapan remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Balikpapan VS De Red
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Balikpapan
(Home) 04 Nov
Balikpapan
1 : 6 Bali United
29 Oct
Balikpapan
3 : 1 PSBS Biak Numfor
23 Oct
Persipura Jayapura
5 : 1 Balikpapan
16 Oct
Balikpapan
0 : 3 Tornado Pekanbaru
10 Oct
PS Barito Putera
2 : 0 Balikpapan
Page 1 of 6
04 Nov
Balikpapan
1 : 6 Bali United
29 Oct
Balikpapan
3 : 1 PSBS Biak Numfor
16 Oct
Balikpapan
0 : 3 Tornado Pekanbaru
25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 De Red
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persela Lamongan
Page 1 of 3
De Red
(Away) 03 Nov
De Red
0 : 2 PSM Makassar
31 Oct
Deltras Sidoarjo
0 : 2 De Red
25 Oct
Persela Lamongan
2 : 2 De Red
18 Oct
De Red
0 : 2 PS Barito Putera
11 Oct
Persis Solo
0 : 0 De Red
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Deltras Sidoarjo
0 : 2 De Red
25 Oct
Persela Lamongan
2 : 2 De Red
11 Oct
Persis Solo
0 : 0 De Red
25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 De Red
15 Feb
Isenmulang Kalteng
1 : 0 De Red
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSPS Riau | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 19 |
| 2 | PSMS Medan | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Persikad Depok | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | 13 |
| 4 | Semen Padang | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 5 | PSIS Semarang | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Sumsel United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 7 | Persiraja Aceh | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 9 |
| 8 | Adhyaksa Bekasi | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 9 | PSGC Ciamis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 10 | Persiku Kudus | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6:26 | -1 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persela Lamongan | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:5 | 16 |
| 2 | PS Barito Putera | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | 16 |
| 3 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16:4 | 15 |
| 5 | RANS Nusantara | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | 15 |
| 6 | Persipura Jayapura | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 10 |
| 7 | De Red | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Persis Solo | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 7 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6:18 | -1 |
| 10 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3:41 | -4 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
