Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Balikpapan vs PSBS Biak Numfor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Yoshihama R.
Assist: Nishihara T.
25' Event
Ardiana A.
34'
Amru J.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Balikpapan and PSBS Biak Numfor finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balikpapan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Balikpapan
15%
Draws
0%
PSBS Biak Numfor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balikpapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Balikpapan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Balikpapan taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 18%
PSBS Biak Numfor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balikpapan PSBS Biak Numfor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 1
Draws 7 3
Losses 19 25
Goals Scored 0.83 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.67 3.76
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2026 Championship
Balikpapan vs PSBS Biak Numfor
3:1
Nov 23, 2023 Championship
Balikpapan vs PSBS Biak Numfor
2:6
Sep 27, 2023 Championship
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Balikpapan
3:0
Jan 7, 2023 Championship
Balikpapan vs PSBS Biak Numfor
0:0
Oct 14, 2022 Championship
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Balikpapan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balikpapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoshihama R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ardiana A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

PSBS Biak Numfor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tri A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balikpapan 85 / 100
PSBS Biak Numfor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balikpapan PSBS Biak Numfor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balikpapan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSBS Biak Numfor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

PSBS Biak Numfor lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Balikpapan found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Balikpapan VS PSBS Biak Numfor
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 5.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Balikpapan

(Home)
29 Oct
Balikpapan
3 : 1
PSBS Biak Numfor
23 Oct
Persipura Jayapura
5 : 1
Balikpapan
16 Oct
Balikpapan
0 : 3
Tornado Pekanbaru
10 Oct
PS Barito Putera
2 : 0
Balikpapan
04 Oct
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 0
Balikpapan
Page 1 of 6

PSBS Biak Numfor

(Away)
29 Oct
Balikpapan
3 : 1
PSBS Biak Numfor
23 Oct
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 3
PS Barito Putera
17 Oct
PSBS Biak Numfor
1 : 6
Persipura Jayapura
10 Oct
Tornado Pekanbaru
6 : 0
PSBS Biak Numfor
03 Oct
PSBS Biak Numfor
1 : 5
RANS Nusantara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSPS Riau 8 6 1 1 16:9 19
2 PSMS Medan 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Persikad Depok 8 4 1 3 11:13 13
4 Semen Padang 8 4 2 2 9:6 13
5 PSIS Semarang 8 3 3 2 9:7 11
6 Sumsel United 8 3 2 3 13:11 10
7 Persiraja Aceh 8 3 1 4 11:10 9
8 Adhyaksa Bekasi 8 1 4 3 8:7 7
9 PSGC Ciamis 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
10 Persiku Kudus 8 0 1 7 6:26 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 8 5 2 1 16:5 16
2 PS Barito Putera 8 5 1 2 16:9 16
3 Deltras Sidoarjo 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 8 4 4 0 16:4 15
5 RANS Nusantara 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
6 Persipura Jayapura 8 3 2 3 19:13 10
7 De Red 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
8 Persis Solo 8 1 4 3 14:12 7
9 Balikpapan 8 1 0 7 6:18 -1
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 8 0 0 8 3:41 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)