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Balkan Botevgrad vs Botev Ihtiman Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Balkan Botevgrad and Botev Ihtiman finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balkan Botevgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Balkan Botevgrad
15%
Draws
48%
Botev Ihtiman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Botev Ihtiman's 1.43 goals per match outpaces what Balkan Botevgrad have produced (1.36).
  • Win probability leans Balkan Botevgrad's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 18%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balkan Botevgrad Botev Ihtiman
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.36 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Botev Ihtiman
1:0
May 16, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Balkan Botevgrad
3:3
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Botev Ihtiman
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Balkan Botevgrad
2:2
Aug 14, 2024 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Botev Ihtiman
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balkan Botevgrad 36 / 100
Botev Ihtiman 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balkan Botevgrad Botev Ihtiman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Balkan Botevgrad scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Botev Ihtiman has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Balkan Botevgrad remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Balkan Botevgrad VS Botev Ihtiman
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Balkan Botevgrad

(Home)
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
Levski Sofia II
29 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
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Botev Ihtiman

(Away)
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2
Natsional Sofia
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
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