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Balkan Botevgrad vs Botev Ihtiman

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Balkan Botevgrad in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Balkan Botevgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Balkan Botevgrad
22%
Draws
18%
Botev Ihtiman
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Balkan Botevgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Botev Ihtiman at 1.13 per game, Balkan Botevgrad at 1.
  • Model gives Balkan Botevgrad a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 20%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balkan Botevgrad Botev Ihtiman
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Balkan Botevgrad
3:3
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Botev Ihtiman
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Balkan Botevgrad
2:2
Aug 14, 2024 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Botev Ihtiman
0:1
Mar 2, 2024 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Botev Ihtiman
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balkan Botevgrad 58 / 100
Botev Ihtiman 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balkan Botevgrad Botev Ihtiman

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balkan Botevgrad scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Botev Ihtiman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Balkan Botevgrad went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Balkan Botevgrad VS Botev Ihtiman
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238