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Balkan Botevgrad vs Septemvri Simitli Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Balkan Botevgrad and Septemvri Simitli finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Simitli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Balkan Botevgrad
30%
Draws
16%
Septemvri Simitli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Balkan Botevgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Septemvri Simitli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Balkan Botevgrad are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 19%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balkan Botevgrad Septemvri Simitli
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 12 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Septemvri Simitli
1:2
Apr 24, 2026 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Septemvri Simitli
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad
0:0
May 3, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Balkan Botevgrad
4:3
Oct 12, 2024 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Septemvri Simitli
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balkan Botevgrad 76 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balkan Botevgrad Septemvri Simitli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balkan Botevgrad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balkan Botevgrad's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Septemvri Simitli let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Balkan Botevgrad remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Balkan Botevgrad VS Septemvri Simitli
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Balkan Botevgrad

(Home)
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
Levski Sofia II
29 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
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Septemvri Simitli

(Away)
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 3
Natsional Sofia
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