Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Balkan vs Simrishamn

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen 2024/2025
Tue, May 14, 2024
1 - 2
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Hansson F.
67' Event
Green F.
105' Event
Hansson F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Simrishamn advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Balkan
20%
Draws
16%
Simrishamn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Balkan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Balkan's 1.43 goals per match outpaces what Simrishamn have produced (1.3).
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Balkan taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Simrishamn, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Balkan Clean Sheet 15%
Simrishamn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balkan Simrishamn
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.43 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Balkan vs Simrishamn
2:3
Jun 1, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Simrishamn vs Balkan
1:2
May 14, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Balkan vs Simrishamn
1:2
Sep 8, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Balkan vs Simrishamn
3:0
May 13, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Simrishamn vs Balkan
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balkan Compare

Top Goalscorer Green F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

Simrishamn Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansson F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balkan 84 / 100
Simrishamn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balkan Simrishamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balkan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balkan's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Simrishamn let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Difficult form: Simrishamn registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Balkan VS Simrishamn
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 6
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Balkan

(Home)
10 Jun
Balkan
2 : 3
Eskilsminne
19 Oct
Solvesborgs
3 : 0
Balkan
13 Oct
Balkan
1 : 2
Osterlen FF
06 Oct
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
Balkan
29 Sept
Balkan
1 : 1
Torns
Page 1 of 7

Simrishamn

(Away)
28 Feb
Kristianstad
6 : 0
Simrishamn
01 Nov
Simrishamn
3 : 3
Solveborgs GOIF
26 Oct
Solveborgs GOIF
1 : 0
Simrishamn
19 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
3 : 0
Simrishamn
12 Oct
Simrishamn
1 : 2
IFK Hassleholm
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Huddinge 3
Nacka FC 2
TBD -
Gefle -
Haninge 0
FC Stockholm Internazionale 4
TBD -
Sundsvall -
IFK Eskilstuna 1
IFK Stocksund 2
TBD -
Hammarby -
Dalkurd 1
Sollentuna 5
TBD -
Orebro -
Enskede 1
FC Arlanda 0
TBD -
Brage -
Kubikenborgs 3
Gottne IF 2
TBD -
AIK -
Arsunda IF 2
Korsnas 1
TBD -
Skovde -
Forward 0
FBK Karlstad 5
TBD -
Sandviken -
Gute 2
Vasalund 1
TBD -
Vasteras SK -
IK Franke 0
Taby FK 2
TBD -
Oddevold -
Bralanda IF 2
Karlstad 4
TBD -
Sirius -
IFK Ostersund 1
Hudiksvall 0
TBD -
Brommapojkarna -
Viggbyholms 1
Karlbergs 2
TBD -
Ostersund -
Stegeborg 2
Nykopings 4
TBD -
Degerfors -
Skelleftea 1
Pitea 2
TBD -
Norrkoping -
Sunnersta AIF 0
FC Jarfalla 2
TBD -
Djurgarden -
Timmernabbens 1
IFK Berga 5
TBD -
Orgryte -
Jonkopings BK 0
Smedby 4
TBD -
Utsikten -
Tidaholms 1
Jonkoping 4
TBD -
Varnamo -
Landvetter 0
Falkenberg 4
TBD -
Landskrona -
Angelholm 2
Torns 0
TBD -
Kalmar -
Torslanda 2
Onsala 1
TBD -
Malmo FF -
Balkan 1
Simrishamn 2
TBD -
Varberg -
Styrso 0
Trollhattan 5
TBD -
GAIS -
Astorps 0
Eskilsminne 2
TBD -
Elfsborg -
IFK Skovde 0
Tord 1
TBD -
Hacken -
Herrestads AIF 1
Vanersborgs IF 0
TBD -
Helsingborg -
IK Zenith 0
Tvaaker 3
TBD -
Trelleborg -
Lodde 0
AFC Malmo 4
TBD -
IFK Goteborg -
IF Haga 3
Borens 2
TBD -
Halmstad -
Kristianopels GoIF 1
IFK Hassleholm 3
TBD -
Mjallby -
Gotaholms 3
Gauthiod 2
TBD -
Oster -
Final
Huddinge 0
Gefle 1
FC Stockholm Internazionale 1
Sundsvall 0
IFK Stocksund 1
Hammarby 6
Sollentuna 0
Orebro 2
Enskede 1
Brage 2
Kubikenborgs 1
AIK 7
Arsunda IF 0
Skovde 5
FBK Karlstad 2
Sandviken 3
Gute 1
Vasteras SK 3
Taby FK 0
Oddevold 2
Karlstad 1
Sirius 3
IFK Ostersund 0
Brommapojkarna 5
Karlbergs 2
Ostersund 1
Nykopings 1
Degerfors 4
Pitea 1
Norrkoping 3
FC Jarfalla 1
Djurgarden 6
IFK Berga 1
Orgryte 2
Smedby 1
Utsikten 2
Jonkoping 1
Varnamo 2
Falkenberg 0
Landskrona 2
Angelholm 0
Kalmar 4
Torslanda 2
Malmo FF 5
Simrishamn 1
Varberg 3
Trollhattan 2
GAIS 4
Eskilsminne 0
Elfsborg 5
Tord 1
Hacken 2
Herrestads AIF 0
Helsingborg 2
Tvaaker 1
Trelleborg 3
AFC Malmo 0
IFK Goteborg 2
IF Haga 0
Halmstad 2
IFK Hassleholm 1
Mjallby 5
Gotaholms 1
Oster 3