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Ballard vs United PDX

USA USA

USL League Two 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2023 game between Ballard and United PDX finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ballard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Ballard
15%
Draws
36%
United PDX
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ballard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ballard carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ballard a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ballard Clean Sheet 20%
United PDX Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballard United PDX
Matches Played 40 28
Wins 29 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.6 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 USL League Two
Ballard vs United PDX
1:0
Jun 22, 2024 USL League Two
United PDX vs Ballard
2:1
Jul 16, 2023 USL League Two
Ballard vs United PDX
4:1
Jun 25, 2023 USL League Two
United PDX vs Ballard
1:1
May 29, 2023 USL League Two
United PDX vs Ballard
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballard 85 / 100
United PDX 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballard United PDX

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ballard scored in 88% of their last 40 outings.

United PDX has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Ballard went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballard VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballard

(Home)
24 Jul
Ballard
1 : 2
Ventura
20 Jul
Ballard
4 : 3
Colorado Storm
18 Jul
Ballard
2 : 1
Utah United
13 Jul
Ballard
4 : 0
Snohomish United
09 Jul
Bigfoot
0 : 4
Ballard
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United PDX

(Away)
21 Jul
United PDX
4 : 5
Project 51O
19 Jul
Almaden
0 : 1
United PDX
14 Jul
Lane United FC
1 : 2
United PDX
13 Jul
Ballard
1 : 0
United PDX
10 Jul
United PDX
1 : 0
Tacoma Stars
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