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Ballinamallard vs Armagh Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ballinamallard in this NIFL Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ballinamallard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ballinamallard
35%
Draws
18%
Armagh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ballinamallard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Armagh haven't matched Ballinamallard's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ballinamallard a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ballinamallard have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 18%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballinamallard Armagh
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 0
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.07 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.41 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Armagh
6:0
Mar 7, 2026 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Ballinamallard
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Ballinamallard
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Armagh
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Ballinamallard
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballinamallard 85 / 100
Armagh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballinamallard Armagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballinamallard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Armagh has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ballinamallard stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ballinamallard's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ballinamallard VS Armagh
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballinamallard

(Home)
03 Oct
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Ards
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
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Armagh

(Away)
02 Oct
Strabane Athletic
0 : 0
Armagh
26 Sept
Armagh
0 : 2
Dundela
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
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