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Ballinamallard vs Armagh

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ballinamallard in this NIFL Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ballinamallard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ballinamallard
30%
Draws
12%
Armagh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ballinamallard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Armagh haven't matched Ballinamallard's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ballinamallard a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ballinamallard have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 20%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballinamallard Armagh
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 7 3
Draws 10 6
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.09 0.65
Goals Conceded 1.44 3.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Armagh
6:0
Mar 7, 2026 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Ballinamallard
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Ballinamallard
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Armagh
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Ballinamallard
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballinamallard 85 / 100
Armagh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballinamallard Armagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballinamallard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Armagh has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ballinamallard stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Armagh's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ballinamallard VS Armagh
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballinamallard

(Home)
11 Aug
Institute
1 : 2
Ballinamallard
08 Aug
Ballinamallard
0 : 1
Newry City
31 Jul
Ballinamallard
1 : 2
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Crusaders
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
11 Jul
Limavady
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
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Armagh

(Away)
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0
Armagh
08 Aug
Armagh
1 : 1
Queens University
10 Jul
Armagh
0 : 1
Cliftonville
25 Apr
Armagh
1 : 4
Institute
21 Apr
Ballinamallard
6 : 0
Armagh
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