Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ballinamallard vs Rathfriland Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rathfriland Rangers in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rathfriland Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ballinamallard
20%
Draws
52%
Rathfriland Rangers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rathfriland Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Rathfriland Rangers have won more games recently than Ballinamallard.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 20%
Rathfriland Rangers Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballinamallard Rathfriland Rangers
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 1
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Rathfriland Rangers
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballinamallard 36 / 100
Rathfriland Rangers 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballinamallard Rathfriland Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rathfriland Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rathfriland Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 26 matches.

Recent resilience: Ballinamallard stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Ballinamallard found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ballinamallard VS Rathfriland Rangers
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballinamallard

(Home)
31 Oct
Ballinamallard
0 : 1
Armagh
23 Oct
Strabane Athletic
0 : 1
Ballinamallard
20 Oct
Ballinamallard
1 : 2
Queens University
17 Oct
Ballinamallard
2 : 2
Warrenpoint
10 Oct
Queens University
0 : 1
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 6

Rathfriland Rangers

(Away)
30 Oct
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 2
Strabane Athletic
20 Oct
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 0
Ards
17 Oct
Dundela
0 : 1
Rathfriland Rangers
09 Oct
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1
Armagh
03 Oct
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Rathfriland Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 14 9 4 1 36:16 31
2 Glenavon 13 8 3 2 34:16 27
3 Newington FC 13 8 2 3 29:22 26
4 Institute 13 6 3 4 23:18 21
5 Ballinamallard 14 6 3 5 20:19 21
6 Queens University 14 6 2 6 24:18 20
7 Newry City 14 5 5 4 21:23 20
8 Warrenpoint 12 5 3 4 21:17 18
9 Ards 14 4 5 5 16:17 17
10 Loughgall 14 4 5 5 18:26 17
11 Harland & Wolff 13 5 1 7 19:22 16
12 Moyola 13 4 3 6 15:25 15
13 Rathfriland Rangers 13 4 1 8 14:25 13
14 Dundela 12 2 5 5 19:24 11
15 Strabane Athletic 14 2 5 7 13:24 11
16 Armagh 14 1 6 7 12:22 9
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)